Sea Ice Extent – Day 42 – Fluctuations Getting Smaller – AMO Peaked?

Update: I have added a graph at the top.

The red line is the AMO for January’s only. The blue lines are Antarctic Sea Ice (top) and Arctic Sea Ice (bottom) for just day 42.

Note that Antarctica follows the AMO. And the Arctic does the opposite of the AMO. And also the Arctic is a mirror of the Antarctic.

Note also that the January AMO has flattened out around 2005 which is when the Arctic at this time of year bottomed out.

Mirror Sea Ice Extent for Day 42 From 1978

DataSouth / North

Both the Arctic and Antarctic sea ice fluctuated by large amounts every few years around this day.

Not so much the last few years.

The Arctic would go up and down by 700,000 or 800,000 …. and now it is only going up and down by 300,000 and the bottom stays the same at 14.2 million sq km.

The Antarctic  would fluctuate by over 1,000,000 sq km . The last 4 years have seen very small changes from year to year.

It could be a portent of stability or just a pause before the process reverses itself.

The AMO is getting ready for the big plunge (see bottom graph’s) and is only staying high in just a few months – Aug/Sep/Oct.

It may take decades for the AMO to hit bottom.

And I suspect the Arctic will refreeze and the Antarctic will melt some. And climate “scientists” will claim they predicted it all along.

Arctic Sea Ice Extent for Day 42 From 1978 (infilled) Antarctic Sea Ice Extent for Day 42 From 1978 (infilled)

 

AMO By Month Since 2006 as of Jan-2015 AMO By Month Since 2000 as of Jan-2015 AMO By Month Since 1980 as of Jan-2015

Sea Ice Extent – Day 34 – Global Sea Ice Above Mean (And 1984 1985 1993 1996 1997 1999 2000 2002 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012)

DataSouth / North

Global Sea Ice Extent for Day 35 From 1978 (infilled) Global_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2015_Day_35_1981-2010 Antarctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2015_Day_35_1981-2010 Arctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2015_Day_35_1981-2010

Sea Ice Extent – Day 34 – Antarctic Sawtooth

DataSouth / North

Normally (as you can see from the graph below) at this time of year Antarctic Sea Ice is high one or two years and then drops as much as 1.3 million sq km to a low (even a new) low and then repeats.

From 2012 the big drop in the sawtooth pattern stopped. From 2012 every  value is above every value before 2012 (with a little license for the tiny dip from 2012 to 2013).

 

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent for Day 34 From 1978 (infilled) Global_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2015_Day_34_1981-2010 Antarctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2015_Day_34_1981-2010 Arctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2015_Day_34_1981-2010