April was Cold in the USA

April was cold in the USA

3F colder than the 30 year average

Coolest April since 1997 (47.5°F)

Almost 5°F cooler than last year (53.2°F).

UAH December 2015

UPDATE: The original version of this post had the y axis going from -1 to 1.  I’ll leave those graphs at the bottom.

The new graphs have -3 to 3. Notice how much the NoPol Ocean temperatures fluctuate compared to the other 3 regions.

 

UAH for December 2015 is out.

Here is the South and North Pole Ocean Data plus the Southern and Northern Extent Ocean Data

UAH - NoExt_Ocean as of 2015 - 12 UAH - NoPol_Ocean as of 2015 - 12 UAH - SoExt_Ocean as of 2015 - 12 UAH - SoPol_Ocean as of 2015 - 12

 

Original graphs:

UAH - NoExt_Ocean as of 2015 - 12 UAH - NoPol_Ocean as of 2015 - 12 UAH - SoExt_Ocean as of 2015 - 12 UAH - SoPol_Ocean as of 2015 - 12

 

The Streak – 1933/1934 and 2011/2012

The Hockey Schtick blog brought a recent paper to my attention.

The abstract says:

A recent observation in NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center’s monthly assessment of the state of the climate was that contiguous US average monthly temperatures were in the top third of monthly ranked historical temperatures for thirteen straight months from June 2011 — June 2012. The chance of such a streak occurring randomly was quoted as (1/3)13, or about one in 1.6 million.”

I’m not going to discuss the “chances”. But I am going to simply note the following.

The NOAA ranks months temperature and precipitation based on the number of months from 1895. So 2012 was the 118th year. If a month is ranked 118 (as of 2012) then it was the warmest month from 1895 to 2012.

Using the same 12 month June to June time frame and using data from October 2012 ( before NOAA’s recent update) it took me about 10 minutes to find out a similar streak.

From June 1933 to to June 1934 8 months were ranked 100 and above. 2 of them were ranked 118.

From June 2011 to June 2012 8 months were ranked 100 and above. 1 of them was ranked 118.

 

year Month Rank
1933 6 118
1933 7 104
1933 9 116
1933 12 115
1934 1 114
1934 4 107
1934 5 118
1934 6 108

 

year Month Rank
2011 7 114
2011 8 117
2012 1 115
2012 2 104
2012 3 118
2012 4 116
2012 5 117
2012 6 107

What are the odds of that occurring 80 years apart!