Paul Homewood discusses BBC claims that Heatwaves are more likely due to climate change. And because 2014 was the “hottest” year.
So I decided to look at the HADCET MAXTEMP data.
Not the average. The maximum.
I then arbitrarily set the heatwave boundary at 25C.
And then calculated the number of days over 25 and the longest stretch (ie Heatwave).
Guess what? 2014 barely ranks. Only 8 days above 25. 1911 had 29! (See large table at bottom for 25C heatwaves)
What if I set the Heatwave definition at 30C? There are only 8 years that have days over 30C.
1976 is the winner. And 1976 was 39 years ago! (Corrected from 30)
The 30C days and temps.
“1976-07-01” “1976-07-02” “1976-07-03” “1976-07-04” “1976-07-05” “1976-07-06” “1976-07-07”
“30.6” “31.8” “33.2” “31.4” “31.4” “31.6” “30.4”
30C Heatwaves
Year | Days | Longest Heatwave |
1976 | 9 | 7 |
1995 | 5 | 4 |
1975 | 4 | 2 |
1906 | 3 | 3 |
1948 | 3 | 3 |
2006 | 3 | 2 |
1923 | 2 | 2 |
1990 | 2 | 2 |
25C Heatwave.
Year | Days | Longest Heatwave |
1976 | 33 | 16 |
1995 | 33 | 10 |
1911 | 29 | 4 |
2006 | 26 | 7 |
1947 | 25 | 10 |
2003 | 23 | 10 |
1949 | 22 | 6 |
1933 | 21 | 6 |
1893 | 19 | 6 |
1921 | 19 | 6 |
1955 | 19 | 5 |
1975 | 19 | 8 |
1983 | 18 | 7 |
1989 | 18 | 7 |
1899 | 17 | 4 |
1887 | 16 | 3 |
1959 | 16 | 3 |
1990 | 16 | 4 |
1997 | 16 | 7 |
2013 | 16 | 8 |
2005 | 15 | 5 |
1884 | 14 | 5 |
1900 | 14 | 3 |
1935 | 14 | 4 |
1999 | 14 | 5 |
2001 | 13 | 5 |
1941 | 12 | 3 |
1878 | 11 | 6 |
1897 | 11 | 4 |
1898 | 11 | 5 |
1934 | 11 | 8 |
1970 | 11 | 5 |
1984 | 10 | 5 |
1901 | 9 | 5 |
1925 | 9 | 3 |
1942 | 9 | 4 |
1982 | 9 | 2 |
1991 | 9 | 3 |
1994 | 9 | 3 |
1996 | 9 | 5 |
2004 | 9 | 2 |
1906 | 8 | 5 |
1929 | 8 | 3 |
1957 | 8 | 4 |
1960 | 8 | 3 |
1969 | 8 | 3 |
1986 | 8 | 4 |
2014 | 8 | 5 |
1896 | 7 | 2 |
1919 | 7 | 2 |
1923 | 7 | 3 |
1944 | 7 | 3 |
1952 | 7 | 2 |
1973 | 7 | 4 |
1886 | 6 | 3 |
1895 | 6 | 2 |
1908 | 6 | 3 |
1914 | 6 | 2 |
1926 | 6 | 4 |
1937 | 6 | 2 |
1940 | 6 | 4 |
1945 | 6 | 3 |
1946 | 6 | 5 |
1961 | 6 | 2 |
2010 | 6 | 2 |
2011 | 6 | 3 |
1881 | 5 | 2 |
1885 | 5 | 4 |
1918 | 5 | 3 |
1930 | 5 | 4 |
1948 | 5 | 5 |
1953 | 5 | 2 |
1977 | 5 | 5 |
1987 | 5 | 2 |
1992 | 5 | 2 |
1998 | 5 | 4 |
2000 | 5 | 3 |
2009 | 5 | 4 |
1891 | 4 | 4 |
1902 | 4 | 2 |
1904 | 4 | 2 |
1912 | 4 | 3 |
1922 | 4 | 2 |
1928 | 4 | 2 |
1932 | 4 | 2 |
1936 | 4 | 3 |
1939 | 4 | 4 |
1943 | 4 | 2 |
1950 | 4 | 4 |
1963 | 4 | 2 |
1968 | 4 | 2 |
2008 | 4 | 2 |
1894 | 3 | 2 |
1905 | 3 | 2 |
1917 | 3 | 2 |
1978 | 3 | 2 |
1980 | 3 | 2 |
1988 | 3 | 2 |
2002 | 3 | 2 |
1880 | 2 | 2 |
1924 | 2 | 2 |
1972 | 2 | 2 |