Alberta Tmin/Tmax Monthly Summaries For Stations with 25 years of data.

Environment Canada Monthly Summary Grid For Months (1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12) by Decade

Red is Highest , Blue is Lowest

I posted the other about how Alberta isn’t suffering from a heat wave even if the average has gone up.

The average has gone up because the Tmin is higher, not Tmax (Generally)

So these are the stations with 25 years of data ending in 2015/2106/2017.

Notice that most stations Tmin are hottest in the 2010s and coldest in the 1970s (if there is 70s data)

Tmin

 

Station Station No Records Min Year Max Year pct of data 2010s 2000s 1990s 1980s 1970s 1960s 1950s 1940s 1930s 1920s 1910s 1900s 1890s 1880s
KANANASKIS 3053600 928 1939 2017 97.9 -13.64 -14.43 -14.18 -14.45 -14.53 -15.01 -15.47 -14.06 -10.56
CAMROSE 3011240 836 1946 2017 96.8 -13.1 -13.9 -13.84 -12.53 -14.47 -14.09 -14.87 -15.3
COLD LAKE A 3081680 781 1952 2017 98.6 -12.6 -13.38 -14.42 -14.2 -15.02 -15.1 -14.9
FORT SASKATCHEWAN 3012710 686 1958 2017 95.3 -13.28 -14.05 -13.39 -13.93 -14.12 -13.42 -10.66
EDMONTON STONY PLAIN 301222F 623 1966 2017 99.8 -10.33 -10.74 -11.02 -11.12 -12.14 -11.41
QUEENSTOWN 3035340 612 1966 2017 98.1 -11.99 -10.91 -11.86 -11.19 -12.11 -11.92
CRAIGMYLE 3021940 604 1960 2017 86.8 -13.65 -13.63 -13.6 -10.71 -14.55 -13.52
FORESTBURG PLANT SITE 3012652 586 1967 2017 95.8 -10.82 -10.74 -11.33 -10.95 -13.22 -9.64
HIGH LEVEL A 3073146 567 1970 2017 98.4 -17.04 -17.59 -18.19 -18.73 -19.38
SIMONETTE 3075937 520 1973 2017 96.3 -12.02 -14.68 -12.97 -13.26 -14.65
KANANASKIS POCATERRA 3053604 448 1976 2017 88.9 -14.27 -16.83 -16.33 -17.15 -18.45
VEGREVILLE 3016GF0 446 1980 2017 97.8 -14.25 -14.9 -15.12 -14.58
FABYAN 3012515 431 1981 2017 97.1 -13.91 -13.86 -14.86 -14.38
LLOYDMINSTER A 3013961 429 1982 2017 99.3 -12.22 -13.09 -13.93 -13.18
ELK ISLAND NAT PARK 3012275 383 1981 2017 86.3 -12.52 -13.62 -12.76 -13.62
BRULE BLACK CAT 3060903 367 1987 2017 98.7 -13.34 -14.65 -15.36 -14.27
UNIVERSITY OF ALBERTA METABOLIC CENTRE 301FFNJ 365 1986 2017 95.1 -10.57 -12.85 -12.32 -11.63
ENTWISTLE 3062451 362 1987 2017 97.3 -12.23 -13.14 -12.83 -13.94
OKOTOKS 303M9JM 332 1990 2017 98.8 -11.41 -11.86 -11.81
PICTURE BUTTE WEST 303N1G3 331 1987 2017 89 -7.45 -8.7 -10.88 -11.29
BROOKS 3030QLP 311 1988 2017 86.4 -12.41 -12.18 -11.98 -14.86
LETHBRIDGE CDA 3033890 1234 1908 2016 94.3 -11.15 -10.56 -10.63 -11.42 -12.69 -12.24 -12.92 -12.19 -12.78 -13.66 -13.95 -13.82
CALMAR 3011120 1108 1915 2016 90.5 -4.94 -13.32 -14.55 -13.32 -14.94 -14.79 -15.02 -15.89 -16.57 -17.32 -19.21
DAKOTA WEST 3011953 491 1974 2016 95.2 -13.99 -13.37 -14.02 -13.71 -15.09
CAMROSE 2 3011241 327 1985 2016 85.2 -13.65 -13.97 -14.51 -12.59
SEDGEWICK TOWN 3015808 324 1987 2016 90 -10.41 -13.94 -13.49 -16.03
OLDS 3024920 1171 1914 2015 95.7 -11.53 -11.22 -12 -12.22 -13.41 -13.16 -13.56 -12.94 -13.59 -14.68 -15.29
EDMONTON WOODBEND 3012230 501 1973 2015 97.1 -13.76 -13.82 -14.28 -14.02 -15.52

 

Notice Tmax red is scattered all over. If anything, the 2010s have a lot of lowest Tmax in blue.

Tmax

Station Station No Records Min Year Max Year pct of data 2010s 2000s 1990s 1980s 1970s 1960s 1950s 1940s 1930s 1920s 1910s 1900s 1890s 1880s
KANANASKIS 3053600 934 1939 2017 98.5 19.98 20.06 19.72 19.71 18.94 19.13 18.65 19.79 22
CAMROSE 3011240 836 1946 2017 96.8 19.18 19.63 19.02 19.37 17.89 18.82 18.88 19.99
COLD LAKE A 3081680 781 1952 2017 98.6 18.22 18.31 18.27 18.35 17.37 17.98 17.09
FORT SASKATCHEWAN 3012710 688 1958 2017 95.6 20.1 19.65 19.24 18.4 18.39 19.17 20.41
EDMONTON STONY PLAIN 301222F 623 1966 2017 99.8 19.7 19.65 19.3 19.22 18.32 18.41
QUEENSTOWN 3035340 612 1966 2017 98.1 21.96 22.53 22.25 22.65 21.69 21.16
CRAIGMYLE 3021940 607 1960 2017 87.2 20.65 20.77 20.33 22.84 20.48 21.64
FORESTBURG PLANT SITE 3012652 586 1967 2017 95.8 20.22 21.14 20.43 20.93 19.48 21.75
HIGH LEVEL A 3073146 567 1970 2017 98.4 17.13 16.55 16.46 16.81 16.24
SIMONETTE 3075937 519 1973 2017 96.1 18.43 18.69 19.73 19.79 19
VEGREVILLE 3016GF0 446 1980 2017 97.8 19.45 19 18.69 18.92
KANANASKIS POCATERRA 3053604 442 1976 2017 87.7 15.97 17.52 17.46 17.4 16.76
FABYAN 3012515 431 1981 2017 97.1 18.83 18.75 18.95 19.31
LLOYDMINSTER A 3013961 429 1982 2017 99.3 18.15 18.38 18.24 18.88
ELK ISLAND NAT PARK 3012275 383 1981 2017 86.3 20.13 20.16 20.11 18.64
BRULE BLACK CAT 3060903 367 1987 2017 98.7 19.53 20.39 19.92 21.39
UNIVERSITY OF ALBERTA METABOLIC CENTRE 301FFNJ 365 1986 2017 95.1 19.77 19.86 19.6 19.49
ENTWISTLE 3062451 362 1987 2017 97.3 19.7 19.97 19.86 20.22
OKOTOKS 303M9JM 332 1990 2017 98.8 22.17 22.25 21.81
PICTURE BUTTE WEST 303N1G3 331 1987 2017 89 25.06 24.79 22.75 23.74
BROOKS 3030QLP 311 1988 2017 86.4 22.54 22.86 22.69 20.92
LETHBRIDGE CDA 3033890 1234 1908 2016 94.3 22.91 23.8 22.93 23.58 22.17 22.88 21.98 22.79 23.18 22.25 22.77 23.92
CALMAR 3011120 1104 1915 2016 90.2 13.22 19.41 19.15 19.62 18.69 19.47 18.94 20.3 20.93 20.14 18.86
DAKOTA WEST 3011953 491 1974 2016 95.2 18.85 19.52 19.6 19.89 19.75
CAMROSE 2 3011241 326 1985 2016 84.9 18.07 19.53 19.29 20
SEDGEWICK TOWN 3015808 324 1987 2016 90 20.28 19.3 20.36 19.12
OLDS 3024920 1170 1914 2015 95.6 19.02 20.27 20 20.62 19.32 20.24 20.1 20.9 21.29 19.64 20.49
EDMONTON WOODBEND 3012230 501 1973 2015 97.1 19.8 20.26 20.02 20.64 19.01
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Alberta Average July Tmax By Decade

I posted some data about temperatures in Edmonton and Alberta. I wanted to visualize it. So I’ve made a grid.

The source of the data is Environment Canadas monthly summaries.

I’m using Tmax, not Tmean. (The logic being that max temps are the problem)

And I’m starting with the July only average for the decade. (I’ll expand in later posts).

There are 1087 stations with July data in Alberta.

I’m narrowing it down to stations with 25 years of data and data all the way up to 2017 and 80% complate.

Things to note:

Only 29 stations make the cut. Only 1 station has the 2010s as the decade with the hottest July average Tmax.

Only 2 stations have data from the 1940s (none before that).

So … AGW ain’t going to kill Albertans in July. They already survived July in the 2000s.

And there isn’t any stations with old and new data. (By that I mean the 30s).

 

Station
Station No
Records Min Year Max Year pct of data 2010s 2000s 1990s 1980s 1970s 1960s 1950s 1940s 1930s 1920s 1910s 1900s 1890s 1880s
KANANASKIS 3053600 77 1940 2017 98.7 30.4 31.1 28.3 30.1 29.3 28.8 29.3 29.9
CAMROSE 3011240 70 1946 2017 97.2 29.9 31.6 28.7 30 29.1 31.1 31.2 30.9
COLD LAKE A 3081680 65 1953 2017 100 30.2 31.2 29.8 30 29.3 31.4 30.9
FORT SASKATCHEWAN 3012710 58 1958 2017 96.7 31.4 32 29 30.3 29.9 31.6 33.9
CRAIGMYLE 3021940 52 1960 2017 89.7 31.8 33.5 30.3 32.8 32.6 32.7
EDMONTON STONY PLAIN 301222F 52 1966 2017 100 29.8 30.8 27.8 29.2 28.4 28.6
QUEENSTOWN 3035340 51 1967 2017 100 31.9 33.3 31.4 33.8 34.2 32.2
FORESTBURG PLANT SITE 3012652 50 1968 2017 100 31.7 34 30.9 32.6 31.8 31.7
HIGH LEVEL A 3073146 47 1971 2017 100 30.9 29.9 29.7 29.8 29.2
SIMONETTE 3075937 44 1974 2017 100 28.9 30 29.1 29.3 28.6
VEGREVILLE 3016GF0 37 1981 2017 100 30.7 31.3 29.7 30.3
FABYAN 3012515 36 1981 2017 97.3 29.9 32.2 29.7 31.9
LLOYDMINSTER A 3013961 36 1982 2017 100 29.4 31.6 29.6 31.7
ELK ISLAND NAT PARK 3012275 33 1982 2017 91.7 30.8 31.3 29.9 29.4
BRULE BLACK CAT 3060903 31 1987 2017 100 30.7 31 28.8 29.8
PICTURE BUTTE WEST 303N1G3 31 1987 2017 100 33.6 34.6 31.3 33.2
ENTWISTLE 3062451 30 1988 2017 100 29.9 31.3 29.1 29.8
UNIVERSITY OF ALBERTA METABOLIC CENTRE 301FFNJ 30 1987 2017 96.8 31.8 32.2 29.5 30.8
OKOTOKS 303M9JM 28 1990 2017 100 32.8 33.3 29.9
BROOKS 3030QLP 26 1989 2017 89.7 33.3 35 33.2 34
BOW ISLAND 3030768 25 1993 2017 100 33.7 34.3 31.6
BOW VALLEY 3050778 25 1993 2017 100 32.1 32.2 29.1
COP UPPER 3031875 25 1993 2017 100 31.1 31.3 28.5
CROWSNEST 3051R4R 25 1993 2017 100 31 32 29.1
ESTHER 1 301B460 25 1993 2017 100 32.9 34.8 32.3
LACOMBE CDA 2 3023722 25 1993 2017 100 30.1 31.3 28.4
SUNDRE A 3026KNQ 25 1993 2017 100 30.6 31.1 28.5
THREE HILLS 3026479 25 1993 2017 100 30.7 32.5 29.9
VAUXHALL CDA CS 3036682 25 1993 2017 100 33.6 34.8 32.8

Edmonton (two stations) and then Medicine Hat A

I was looking over Alberta weather data (Environment Canada monthly summaries) because some article said Edmonton was warming by some godawful amount.

When I looked at Edmonton weather data I found 23 stations. Some old, some recent, some only running for a few years.

I looked at EDMONTON CITY CENTRE A  – 1937 to 2005 – average of 11.9 records per year. Pretty complete.

I know, no data from 2010s. But the 1980s were hottest.

1980s 4.3
1990s 3.9
2000s 3.8
1970s 3.4
1960s 3.0
1940s 2.7
1950s 2.6
1930s 2.2

EDMONTON STONY PLAIN 1966 to 2018  – 12

2010s 4.3
2000s 4.1
1980s 3.8
1990s 3.8
1960s 2.7
1970s 2.6

2010s aren’t over.

Then I went looking for some old/new data in Alberta with long runs just to get a feel for the province.

MEDICINE HAT A – 1883 to 2008 11.9 record per year. Again, no 2010s.  Tragic that EC let old long stations die off.

1910s 6.4
1920s 6.2
1980s 6.2
2000s 6.2
1900s 6.0
1990s 5.9
1930s 5.8
1880s 5.3
1940s 5.3
1960s 5.3
1970s 5.0
1950s 4.9
1890s 4.7

I’ll do some more like this.

 

Alberta Wind – April 2015

As some of you my have noticed I like to mock the idea that wind can take over for fossil fuels.

Here is the Actual Wind Production versus the day ahead prediction.

Purple is the the 1450MW of power wind could generate (and never does).

Green is actual.  Notice it goes to zero several times and under 200MW a bunch of times.

And several of those low stretches last a whole day!

Alberta_Wind_April_2016

 

Alberta Wind – March 2015

As some of you my have noticed I like to mock the idea that wind can take over for fossil fuels.

Here is the Actual Wind Production versus the day ahead prediction.

Purple is the the 1450MW of power wind could generate (and never does).

Green is actual.  Notice it goes to zero 4 times and under 200MW a bunch of times.

And several of those low stretches last a whole day!

 

AESO_Capture

 

Alberta NDP Coal Phaseout Could Triple Power Bills

If you live in Alberta Canada, get ready for a possible tripling of electricity costs.

“Whether you’re in oil and gas, forestry, agriculture, tourism, we need good, affordable, dependable power to be successful,” Coal Association of Canada president Robin Campbell said. “It’s one of the things we have in this province that allows us to compete globally and we’re about to lose that.”

The NDP says phasing out coal is necessary not only to reduce green house gases but also to improve air quality.

Campbell says all those concerns could be addressed through investing in clean coal technologies without jeopardizing base-load power.

New coal power plants generate more CO2 than natural gas but they generate way less CO2 than wood pellets.

Another study:

It found that the boost in renewables and the end of coal would mean a 45 per cent reduction in emissions, or 18.5 million fewer tonnes of carbon released into the atmosphere a year.

However, under the province’s privatized utility system, prices would have to be between $60 to $85 per megawatt hour to justify wind power construction.

And if solar power were to make up 50 per cent of the renewables mix “it would cost between $200 and $300 per megawatt hour,” the study found.

Alberta Energy Companies are bailing on contracts and leaving Alberta taxpayers to pay and pay and pay  for the NDP’s stupidity.

The NDP now have a “coal phaseout negotiator” for getting rid of coal. It will cost billions. And will make Alberta a have not province.

 

 

Alberta Canada Tmax , Tmin and Tmean from 1873 (On 1×1 Grid) – It Was 2C Warmer in the 1940s

This is the Alberta followup the BC post. You can read the explnations.

In the terms of Tmax the coldest period in Alberta (using 5 year means) was 1972-1976.

The warmest period was 1940 – 1944. In fact it was 2C warmer in 1940-1944 than 2011 – 2015. (The 1930s were just slightly cooler than the early 40s)

You may ask why the green line of grid counts goes up and down so much. It appears there are many more stations reporting in May/Jun/Jul/Aug/Sep than in the winter.

Tmax

Canada Monthly Summary Analysis - 1873 to 2015 - Tmax - 1x1 Grid - AB

Tmin

Canada Monthly Summary Analysis - 1873 to 2015 - Tmin - 1x1 Grid - AB

Tmean

Canada Monthly Summary Analysis - 1873 to 2015 - Tmean - 1x1 Grid - AB

Click for larger: