Alberta Wind – April 2015

As some of you my have noticed I like to mock the idea that wind can take over for fossil fuels.

Here is the Actual Wind Production versus the day ahead prediction.

Purple is the the 1450MW of power wind could generate (and never does).

Green is actual.  Notice it goes to zero several times and under 200MW a bunch of times.

And several of those low stretches last a whole day!




Alberta Wind – March 2015

As some of you my have noticed I like to mock the idea that wind can take over for fossil fuels.

Here is the Actual Wind Production versus the day ahead prediction.

Purple is the the 1450MW of power wind could generate (and never does).

Green is actual.  Notice it goes to zero 4 times and under 200MW a bunch of times.

And several of those low stretches last a whole day!




Alberta NDP Coal Phaseout Could Triple Power Bills

If you live in Alberta Canada, get ready for a possible tripling of electricity costs.

“Whether you’re in oil and gas, forestry, agriculture, tourism, we need good, affordable, dependable power to be successful,” Coal Association of Canada president Robin Campbell said. “It’s one of the things we have in this province that allows us to compete globally and we’re about to lose that.”

The NDP says phasing out coal is necessary not only to reduce green house gases but also to improve air quality.

Campbell says all those concerns could be addressed through investing in clean coal technologies without jeopardizing base-load power.

New coal power plants generate more CO2 than natural gas but they generate way less CO2 than wood pellets.

Another study:

It found that the boost in renewables and the end of coal would mean a 45 per cent reduction in emissions, or 18.5 million fewer tonnes of carbon released into the atmosphere a year.

However, under the province’s privatized utility system, prices would have to be between $60 to $85 per megawatt hour to justify wind power construction.

And if solar power were to make up 50 per cent of the renewables mix “it would cost between $200 and $300 per megawatt hour,” the study found.

Alberta Energy Companies are bailing on contracts and leaving Alberta taxpayers to pay and pay and pay  for the NDP’s stupidity.

The NDP now have a “coal phaseout negotiator” for getting rid of coal. It will cost billions. And will make Alberta a have not province.



Alberta Canada Tmax , Tmin and Tmean from 1873 (On 1×1 Grid) – It Was 2C Warmer in the 1940s

This is the Alberta followup the BC post. You can read the explnations.

In the terms of Tmax the coldest period in Alberta (using 5 year means) was 1972-1976.

The warmest period was 1940 – 1944. In fact it was 2C warmer in 1940-1944 than 2011 – 2015. (The 1930s were just slightly cooler than the early 40s)

You may ask why the green line of grid counts goes up and down so much. It appears there are many more stations reporting in May/Jun/Jul/Aug/Sep than in the winter.


Canada Monthly Summary Analysis - 1873 to 2015 - Tmax - 1x1 Grid - AB


Canada Monthly Summary Analysis - 1873 to 2015 - Tmin - 1x1 Grid - AB


Canada Monthly Summary Analysis - 1873 to 2015 - Tmean - 1x1 Grid - AB

Click for larger:




Environmentalists Win Battle Over Keystone XL – Environment Loses War

Environmentalists have kept the Keystone XL pipeline from being finished. Pipelines are the safest way to move oil to oil terminals on various costs of the USA and Canada. They are not perfect. There is some risk. But there is risk in every project.

Now oil companies are bypassing the Keystone.  They are going to move the oil (in fact they are already moving the oil) via rail. Moving oil by rail is not as safe. But it is easier to add rail cars and more rail terminals than it is to get a pipeline approved.

Way to go environmental morons. (Warning. Link is to NY Times)

“Since July, plans have been announced for three large loading terminals in western Canada with the combined capacity of 350,000 barrels a day — equivalent to roughly 40 percent of the capacity of the proposed Keystone XL pipeline that is designed to bring oil from western Alberta to refineries along the Gulf Coast.  Over all, Canada is poised to quadruple its rail-loading capacity over the next few years to as much as 900,000 barrels a day, up from 180,000 today.”

“The Canadians remain a few years behind producers in North Dakota, where the paucity of pipelines encouraged early oil explorers like EOG Resources to form a partnership with Burlington Northern Santa Fe to build terminals for the shipment of oil by rail to refineries across the country.  Today more than three-quarters of North Dakota’s production, which also was to move on the Keystone XL pipeline, is transported by rail. The Canadian oil producers took notice.”

Flooding in Alberta Has Never Happened Before! (Ooops … Maybe Not)

Some AGW cult members have blamed flooding in Calgary on “Climate Change”.

Calgary Herald (via Small Dead Animals)  points out that flooding has happened before in Alberta.

* CALGARY (June 1897) Bow River rises about five metres turning downtown into a lake, washing out bridges, short-circuiting electricity and cutting Canadian Pacific’s line to Vancouver.

* CALGARY (June 1915) The Bow washes away Centre Street Bridge, nearly drowning two city officials. Sheep Creek floods Okotoks and cuts gas mains, leaving Calgarians without cooking fuel.

* CALGARY (June 1923) The Elbow River breaks the 1915 record by 20 centimetres when it rises to 2.9 metres. The Bow River, though it rises 1.5 metres above normal, is still about .6 metres under the 1915 record height.

* CALGARY (June 1929) Bow, Elbow and Highwood rivers overflow to submerge High River as well as southwest and northwest city districts under a metre of muddy water. It takes a heavy toll on zoo animals.

* CALGARY (June 1932) On June 1, 1932, Calgary receives 79.2 mm over a 24-hour period, just .6 mm less than the average rainfall for the whole month. The empty reservoir of the recently completed Glenmore Dam prevents major damage.

* CANMORE (February 1937) Ice jams cause the Bow River to flood, dousing heating plants and forcing families to scramble for their lives in -20C temperatures.

* CALGARY (January 1942) Backed up by an ice jam, the Bow River overflows into Sunnyside.

* HIGH RIVER (May 1942) The town lies under two metres of water after rains swell the Highwood River, forcing evacuation of homes.

* CALGARY (November 1945) Frigid water inundates the Hillhurst area due to ice jams, prompting an investigation of flood control improvements.

* CALGARY (November 1946) Zookeepers evacuate animals from St. George’s Island to escape a flood caused by ice jams.

* CALGARY (March 1947) Rapid thaw of heavy spring snow swells rivers, soaks Hillhurst and Sunnyside.

* CALGARY (January 1948) Ice jams send frigid water from the Bow spilling over into Chinatown and Sunnyside.

* CARDSTON (April-June 1948) Two men drown in Cardston and 2,000 residents of nearby Pincher Creek flee homes.

* CALGARY (December 1950) Nearly 3,000 residents are forced to abandon their houses, apartments and hotel rooms in -30C degree temperatures when ice jams the Bow.

* MEDICINE HAT (March 1951) Six bombs dropped by military aircraft fail to clear an ice jam on the South Saskatchewan River, which floods homes.

* LETHBRIDGE (June 1953) The Oldman River, swollen to levels six metres above normal, washes away houses, forces neighbourhoods to be evacuated, cuts rail lines and short-circuits electricity supplies.

* FORT MACLEOD (June 1975) A 20-year-old man from Standoff, on the nearby Blood Indian Reserve, is swept away and drowned in the Oldman River, which is sent over its banks by rain and melting mountain snow.

* CALGARY (August 1990) Freak, “one-in-50-years” rainstorms hit twice in two nights in the northwest districts of Dalhousie, Charleswood and Brentwood, flooding basements and marooning cars.

* SOUTHERN ALBERTA (June 1995) An estimated 500 people from Calgary to the U.S. border are evacuated. Waterton Lakes National Park closes and all tourists are evacuated. In Calgary, two pedestrian bridges are washed away as is the warning boom above the weir. The Leth-bridge sewage treatment plant is flooded, dumping raw sewage into the Oldman River, which is flowing as much as 100 times its normal amount.

* HALKIRK (east of Red Deer) (June 3, 1996) 175 mm of rain falls in one hour, wiping out crops and roads, and popping the lids off manholes.

* SOUTHERN ALBERTA (June 2005) Three floods swamp basements, mangle bridges and tear apart roads, pathways and parks. In their wake, four lives are lost. Rain-swollen rivers burst their banks, flooding numerous southern Alberta towns and forcing thousands of residents to evacuate. In Calgary, one in 10 homes reported damage and 14 municipalities were forced to declare states of emergency. Rainfall for the month in Calgary measured 247.6 mm, more than three times the normal of 79.8 mm.