PIOMAS – Arctic Sea Ice Volume Up From 2010

PIOMAS is: “Sea Ice Volume is calculated using the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS, Zhang and Rothrock, 2003) developed at APL/PSC.  Anomalies for each day are calculated relative to the average over the 1979 -2014 period for that day of the year to remove the annual cycle.”

The PIOMAS daily data is up to the end of February 2016.

I post a lot of graphs about sea ice area and extent. Some of them show all the data. Some of them show data from 2005 because thats when the arctic sea ice extent trends levelled out.

PIOMAS also shows a leveling out, but not until 2010. I will show both the monthly graphs from 2010 and from 1979. (Click twice for larger) (Graph corrected due to incorrect units)

 

Average Arctic PIOMAS Sea Ice Volume by Month Since 2010

 

Average Arctic PIOMAS Sea Ice Volume by Month Since 1979

 

References:

Volume time series and uncertainties:
Schweiger, A., R. Lindsay, J. Zhang, M. Steele, H. Stern, Uncertainty in modeled arctic sea ice volume, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2011JC007084, 2011

Model details:
Zhang, J.L. and D.A. Rothrock, “Modeling global sea ice with a thickness and enthalpy distribution model in generalized curvilinear coordinates“, Mon. Weather Rev., 131, 845-861, 2003

 

Arctic Sea Ice Extent Since 2005 With 0 Shown on Y Axis

Arctic Sea Ice Extent By Month from 2005 with 0 shown on the Y axis. Red line shows an increasing ice trend.

Does this look like doom for the Arctic to you?

Average Arctic Sea Ice Extent by Month Since 2005

 

The latest South / North

Sea Ice Extent (Global Antarctic and Arctic) – Day 88 – 2016

Global Sea Ice is inside the one standard deviation mark.

Antarctic Sea Ice is approaching the above one standard mean mark.

I’m pretty sure Arctic Sea Ice no longer has any chance of changing the maximum for 2016 and therefore will set the record for lowest maximum (NSIDC) by about 20,000 sq km (MASIE disagrees).

Global_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2016_Day_88_1981-2010 Antarctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2016_Day_88_1981-2010 Arctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2016_Day_88_1981-2010

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Sea Ice Extent (Global Antarctic and Arctic) – Day 85 – 2016

Global Sea Ice is well inside the one standard deviation mark.

Antarctic Sea Ice is well above the mean.

Global_Sea_Ice_Extent_2016_Day_85_1981-2010 Global_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2016_Day_85_1981-2010 Antarctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_2016_Day_85_1981-2010 Antarctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2016_Day_85_1981-2010 Arctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_2016_Day_85_1981-2010 Arctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2016_Day_85_1981-2010

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