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Blogging about sea ice will take a break while I travel.

Back in a few days ….

Unless something weird happens, the Arctic may have set its maximum way back on day 53.

It would be the lowest maximum in the satellite era.

It is not the earliest day of maximum.

1987, 1994 and 1996 set their maximums on day 52.

Year	Min	Max	day of Max	day of Min	Avg Anomaly
1979	6.895	16.635	60	264	0.69
1983	7.204	16.412	73	251	0.7
1982	7.16	16.325	58	256	0.81
1988	7.048	16.309	70	255	0.53
1980	7.533	16.302	65	249	0.7
1987	6.89	16.293	52	245	0.62
1990	6.011	16.249	71	264	0.06
1985	6.486	16.163	76	252	0.36
1986	7.122	16.158	69	249	0.57
1998	6.293	16.07	56	260	0.12
1993	6.161	16.048	72	256	0.29
1984	6.396	15.809	78	260	0.27
1981	6.902	15.801	73	253	0.5
1994	6.934	15.77	52	248	0.38
1989	6.888	15.766	65	265	0.33
2001	6.567	15.742	63	262	-0.04
1997	6.602	15.684	79	246	0.03
1991	6.259	15.647	56	259	0.11
2003	5.969	15.629	79	260	-0.24
1999	5.676	15.627	89	255	0.06
2002	5.625	15.624	68	261	-0.27
1992	7.159	15.576	72	251	0.47
2000	5.943	15.498	63	255	-0.13
1996	7.147	15.484	52	254	0.2
1995	5.99	15.384	90	250	-0.22
2008	4.548	15.354	58	262	-0.66
2010	4.59	15.351	90	262	-0.92
2012	3.34	15.307	78	260	-1.23
2004	5.77	15.3	70	262	-0.4
2013	5.04	15.196	73	256	-0.74
2009	5.047	15.195	61	255	-0.7
2014	4.988	15.007	79	259	-0.84
2005	5.314	14.993	68	263	-0.73
2007	4.147	14.842	69	257	-1.16
2006	5.746	14.777	70	257	-0.86
2011	4.333	14.704	66	251	-1.15
2015	TBA	14.595	53	TBA	TBA

The Daily Mail claims that Antarctica is losing 130 gigatons of ice per year. (An earlier version of my post had a typo and said 159)

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2972611/Antarctica-s-melting-ice-changing-shape-Earth-Researchers-warn-area-ground-zero-climate-change.html

The trouble is twofold:

One … last year it was 159 gigatons per year: http://www.futurity.org/159b-tons-antarctic-ice-sheet-lost-year/

Two …

NSIDC: “The Antarctic Ice Sheet contains 30 million cubic kilometers (7.2 million cubic miles) of ice.”

A gigaton of ice is approximately one cubic kilometer of ice.

So … at 130 gigatons per year, how long before Antarctica melts? That would be 30,000,000 / 130.

 

 

230,000 years.

 

I’m guessing our interglacial will end long before that. And the ice will have stopped melting and started growing.

What the Klimate Kult doesn’t tell you is that the minute Antarctica stops melting is the moment most of humanity will start to die because that when the interglacial ends.

And it will end.

On the front page of the NSIDC Sea Ice News is this:

 

Is that an honest summary of what is happening in Antarctica?

There is no sign of a rapid decline in Antarctic Sea Ice Extent. Records are still being smashed.

 

Serial spammer David A keeps asking why I am not mentioning that the Arctic set one daily record low by a small amount?

Its a simple two-part answer.

1) I do post the Arctic data.

2) But I emphasize the Antarctic and Global Records because the organizations with billions in funding DO NOT!

I do this for free.

 

 

In Antarctica Sea Ice Extent has been setting record after record. It is mid summer and as of today there is 9.2 million sq km of sea ice.

That is 3.4 million sq km more than in 1980.

The albedo implications (which are only discussed by “scientists” in relation to the arctic) are important.

The following info is from a post I did in 2012 and is worth reposting (just remember it was from September 2012):

What is the impact of more Antarctic Sea Ice? Many warmists claim that less Arctic Sea Ice will have a more dramatic effect on earth’s albedo than increasing Antarctic Sea Ice.

Poster RACookPE1978 at WUWT disagrees and I hope he does not mind me reblogging  his comment here.

“The Antarctic Sea Ice at its 16.5 million km^2 maximum near the equinox in mid-September is a near crown-shape: A circular ring whose edge is between 62 south and 60 south latitude. During its mid-winter GROWTH range – that period BEFORE its maximum extent when its will reflect the most solar energy – it will have about 50% of its area between 66.5 south (the Antarctic Circle) and 60 south latitude.

Now, at that latitude, EVEN AT MID NH SUMMER (darkest time of the year for the Antarctic continent in mid-winter) the Antarctic sea ice WILL be reflecting light energy … for the simple reason that the Antarctic sea ice is exposed to southern hemisphere sunlight every day – even at the shortest day if the winter at June 22.

BUT … Antarctic Sea Ice is NOT at its maximum at mid-winter (the darkest days), but rather, Antarctic Sea Ice is at its maximum at the equinox when there IS sunlight for 12 hours per every latitude on the planet. Further, Antarctic Sea Ice at its maximum IS exposed to strongly absorbed sunlight at solar incidence angle between 15 and 30 degrees for 10 of those 12 hours. Worse, from a cooling world standpoint, a DECREASE in Arctic Sea ice from its present “circular cap” up between 81 north latitude and the pole DOES NOT result in increased solar absorption into the exposed sea surface, but rather an increased LOSS of heat energy from the exposed water due to evaporation and radiation.

The difference? The angle of the incidence sunlight. In the Antarctic, the light is inbound on the newly freezing sea ice at 30 degrees angle: At 30-25 degrees incidence angle, open water absorbs 90-95% of the inbound energy, sea ice reflects about 98 percent of the incident energy.

in the Arctic, at 4-8 degrees incidence angle, open (rough) water reflects 95% of the solar energy. Ice reflects about 98% of the incoming solar energy. Open water loses another 117 watts/m^2 compared to ice-covered water.

Thus, “simple” physics and geography shows that an increase in Antarctic Sea by 1.5 million km^2 ABOVE its previous “average” of 15.0 million km^2 SIGNIFICANTLY increases heat loss from the planet. An (potential) loss even of the entire remaining sea ice of 3.4 million km^2 increases heat loss from the planet.

And NO IPCC report nor ANY climate model predicts ANY increase in Antarctic sea ice at the same time as a Arctic Sea Ice decline. They only predict sea ice declines due to “a warming world” and “prove” a warming world by that same sea ice decline.”

 

Appell: Are you going to acknowledge that the decline in northern hemisphere snow cover is also real

No. It goes up and down. It is up now.

Why is global sea ice so high even when Arctic is not? Simple. Antarctic Sea Ice is AMAZINGLY high.

Global Sea Ice Extent Jan 03 2015 – 1,747,000 sq km above Normal

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Jan 03 2015 – 2,409,000 sq km above Normal

Arctic Sea Ice Extent Jan 03 2015 – -663,000 sq km below Normal

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in 2014 was amazing.

210 daily records. 349 out of 365 days were in the top 5.

And now there are no longer any daily records from before 2007.

 

Year	First	Second	Third	Fourth	Fifth	Top 5
2014	210	63	29	41	6	349
2008	57	73	26	30	20	206
2013	49	134	87	47	12	329
2010	31	67	35	23	14	170
2007	17	4	0	2	3	26
2015	2	0	0	0	0	2
1979	0	2	10	14	8	34
1980	0	0	3	6	5	14
1981	0	0	1	1	4	6
1982	0	0	2	10	9	21
1984	0	0	0	3	3	6
1985	0	0	3	2	7	12
1986	0	0	0	1	3	4
1988	0	1	0	0	13	14
1994	0	0	0	12	15	27
1995	0	0	3	7	29	39
1996	0	0	19	7	17	43
1998	0	0	8	13	11	32
1999	0	0	0	0	2	2
2000	0	4	2	17	21	44
2001	0	0	14	11	13	38
2003	0	1	24	27	47	99
2004	0	0	7	3	19	29
2005	0	3	6	17	9	35
2006	0	1	30	28	21	80
2009	0	6	33	33	33	105
2011	0	0	0	0	3	3
2012	0	7	24	11	19	61

The average anomaly for the year was -0.82  million sq km below the 1981-2010 mean.

Lowest Minimum 3.36973 2012
Highest Minimum 7.52476 1980
Lowest day of Minimum 245 1987
Highest day of Minimum 265 1989
Lowest Maximum 14.67084 2011
Highest Maximum 16.56457 1979
Lowest day of Maximum 52 1987
Highest day of Maximum 90 2010

Year	Min	Max	day of Max	day of Min	Average Anomaly (million sq km)
1979	6.89236	16.56457	60	264	0.69
1980	7.52476	16.25042	65	249	0.69
1981	6.88784	15.71365	73	253	0.49
1982	7.15423	16.27475	58	256	0.81
1983	7.19145	16.33207	73	251	0.69
1984	6.39916	15.76157	78	260	0.27
1985	6.4799	16.11716	76	250	0.35
1986	7.12351	16.11934	69	249	0.56
1987	6.89159	16.21724	52	245	0.62
1988	7.04905	16.24163	70	255	0.54
1989	6.88931	15.72295	65	265	0.33
1990	6.0191	16.21077	71	264	0.06
1991	6.26027	15.58803	56	259	0.12
1992	7.16324	15.53258	72	251	0.47
1993	6.15699	16.00491	72	249	0.29
1994	6.92645	15.72226	61	248	0.37
1995	5.98945	15.32238	59	252	-0.22
1996	7.15283	15.42074	52	254	0.2
1997	6.61353	15.63647	79	246	0.03
1998	6.29922	16.02091	56	260	0.12
1999	5.68009	15.55755	89	255	0.06
2000	5.9442	15.44482	63	255	-0.13
2001	6.56774	15.66664	63	262	-0.04
2002	5.62456	15.57345	68	256	-0.27
2003	5.97198	15.58678	80	260	-0.24
2004	5.77608	15.25548	70	263	-0.39
2005	5.31832	14.94615	71	265	-0.73
2006	5.74877	14.73298	70	257	-0.86
2007	4.1607	14.78963	69	257	-1.15
2008	4.55469	15.30522	58	262	-0.66
2009	5.05488	15.16275	61	255	-0.7
2010	4.59918	15.28449	90	262	-0.92
2011	4.33028	14.67084	66	251	-1.15
2012	3.36973	15.25102	64	260	-1.24
2013	5.07709	15.14275	73	256	-0.74
2014	4.98339	14.96031	79	259	-0.82

Global Sea Ice Extent averaged 0.34 million sq km above the 1981-2010 average.

Highest Average since 1998.

In terms of Max, 2014 was the 18th highest out of 36.

In terms of Min, 2014 was the 13th highest out of 36.

Year	Min	Max	day of Max	day of Min	Avg Anomaly (million sq km)
1979	19.09222	27.48859	176	38	0.79
1980	18.5996	28.11968	289	57	0.37
1981	18.18091	27.48105	291	45	0.35
1982	18.76482	27.83626	306	42	0.85
1983	18.84029	27.89772	307	47	0.5
1984	17.71544	27.18759	316	40	0.13
1985	17.92867	27.61347	306	50	0.37
1986	18.80319	27.00445	317	45	0.08
1987	18.98408	27.15319	317	46	0.46
1988	18.15105	27.88244	319	45	0.46
1989	18.00758	27.50341	299	48	0.17
1990	18.3706	27.36396	294	45	-0.12
1991	17.96976	27.05178	309	63	0.07
1992	17.95822	27.58992	322	60	0.29
1993	17.84281	27.99757	310	57	0.12
1994	18.57179	27.97479	309	43	0.56
1995	18.49688	27.11473	306	45	-0.01
1996	17.79264	27.46173	293	57	0.39
1997	17.65372	27.04273	310	57	-0.17
1998	18.47935	27.58827	297	47	0.27
1999	17.94246	27.58386	306	62	0.23
2000	17.5882	26.93691	302	49	0.04
2001	18.52515	26.75864	319	38	0.05
2002	18.08847	26.81604	297	55	-0.64
2003	18.72494	27.09882	306	43	0.14
2004	18.31746	27.09686	316	51	-0.01
2005	17.07721	27.37923	308	38	-0.62
2006	16.7209	27.09882	298	30	-0.99
2007	17.21196	26.24784	308	47	-1.05
2008	18.43071	27.30686	310	46	0
2009	17.43751	26.17157	303	53	-0.24
2010	17.39862	26.71555	313	42	-0.4
2011	16.74368	26.17913	307	42	-1.24
2012	17.82476	25.90133	313	51	-0.81
2013	18.23868	27.49155	306	37	0.2
2014	17.87416	27.35877	307	43	0.34