MASIE May 31 2014 – Arctic Ice Extent By Region As of Day 150

May 31 2014  MASIE Update

This is the gain/loss up to day 150. Negative = loss. Sorted with biggest loser in last 7 days at top. Northern Hemisphere is the grand total.

While melting resumed in many regions over the last one day, over the last 3 days daily melt was only -9,229 sq km per day.

The Greenland Sea continues to climb.

Region Start End Last 62 Last 28 Last 14 Last 7 Last 3 Last 1
Greenland Sea 603,416 655,024 51,609 4,140 -90 -106,985 18,233 13,181
Baffin Bay Gulf of St. Lawrence 1,688,530 1,103,619 -584,912 -245,220 -69,982 -80,040 36,442 -7,578
Barents Sea 645,917 397,108 -248,810 -267,741 -108,359 -50,858 -27,296 -23,217
Laptev Sea 897,845 818,855 -78,990 -78,990 -74,487 -25,700 -10,619 -7,430
Canadian Archipelago 853,214 810,271 -42,943 -42,943 -23,912 -15,090 -4,928 -3,406
Kara Sea 933,859 869,825 -64,034 -65,198 -44,437 -14,481 -19,292 -9,079
Chukchi Sea 966,006 903,001 -63,005 -49,419 -23,794 -11,676 -15,364 -6,480
Sea of Okhotsk 853,240 72,328 -780,912 -172,684 -34,867 -8,824 -608 1,685
Bering Sea 697,324 110,295 -587,029 -259,246 -112,201 -7,340 -4,777 -5,541
Central Arctic 3,221,921 3,241,348 19,427 -6,665 -5,400 -5,418 -2,634 -290
Hudson Bay 1,260,903 1,225,457 -35,446 -25,002 6,010 -5,232 -5,008 -6,607
Beaufort Sea 1,070,445 1,066,643 -3,802 -3,802 16,656 -495 539 -280
Baltic Sea 15,337 0 -15,337 -8,219 0 0 0 0
Yellow Sea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Siberian Sea 1,087,137 1,034,287 -52,850 -52,850 -52,850 13,387 7,625 248
Northern Hemisphere (Total) 14,805,115 12,309,541 -2,495,574 -1,274,566 -527,729 -318,446 -27,687 -54,792
NH (Average Loss per Day)     -39,612 -45,520 -37,695 -45,492 -9,229 -54,792

MASIE Arctic Ice Extent as of 2014-150

One thought on “MASIE May 31 2014 – Arctic Ice Extent By Region As of Day 150

  1. Comparing NOAA and MASIE Arctic Ice Extent

    Some might be interested to compare MASIE results with NOAA Sea Ice Index, since NOAA is a typical reference for Arctic Ice news. NOAA uses only passive microwave readings, while MASIE includes other sources, such as satellite images and field observations.

    For comparison, MASIE shows about 700.000 Km2 more ice extent than NOAA both at maximum and minimum. This is usually explained by microwave sensors seeing melt water on top of ice the same as open water.

    For the years 2007 to 2013 inclusive, each year MASIE shows higher maximums than NOAA, on average 5% higher. In each of those same years MASIE shows higher minimums than NOAA, on average 15% higher. The melt extent is more comparable: NOAA shows an average annual loss of 70.5 %, while MASIE shows an average loss of 67.5%.

    What can we expect from NOAA for 2014 minimum ice extent?

    Average: 4.40 MKm2, (comparable to 5.09 for MASIE)
    If the loss is the same as the seven-year average, the minimum for 2014 can be estimated to be 4.40MKm2, which is 10% less than the 2013 minimum of 5.08 MKm2. This is due to starting the melt with a smaller max extent.

    Low: 3.29 Mkm2, (comparable to 3.81 for MASIE)
    On the other hand, if the loss is as great as in 2012 (the record recent minimum), 2014 could go as low as 3.29 Mkm2, which would be a new record.

    High: 4.97 MKm2,, (comparable to 5.74 for MASIE)
    If the melt is as small as 2009, the 2014 minimum could be as high as 4.97 MKm2.

    If the 2014 NH ice extent minimum is outside this range, then maybe the climate is changing. Note that an extent matching or exceeding 2013 would be outside this range.

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