2 thoughts on “Arctic Sea Ice Extent Sep 17 2014 – Still Dropping”

1. For context, here is an outlook I posted on June 10 at WUWT.

   “What can we expect from NOAA for 2014 minimum ice extent?

   Average: 4.40 MKm2, (comparable to 5.09 for MASIE) If the loss is the same as the seven-year average, the minimum for 2014 can be estimated to be 4.40MKm2, which is 13% less than the 2013 minimum of 5.08 MKm2. This is due to starting the melt with a smaller max extent.

   Low: 3.29 Mkm2, (comparable to 3.81 for MASIE) On the other hand, if the loss is as great as in 2012 (the record recent minimum), 2014 could go as low as 3.29 Mkm2, which would be a new record.

   High: 4.97 MKm2,, (comparable to 5.74 for MASIE)If the melt is as small as 2009, the 2014 minimum could be as high as 4.97 MKm2.”

   So as of yesterday, NOAA is matching the high number, meaning a melt comparable to 2009. The surprise is MASIE showing only 200,000 more Km2 than NOAA on that day

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2. “Still Dropping” – not for much longer:-

   “It was very calm here in Cambridge Bay overnight with the exception of a few strange noises against the hull. We awoke to find that the whole Bay had flash-frozen in the night and was completely covered in ice!

   One local told us this was the earliest he’d seen it in his fourteen years of residency. Hope this isn’t an indicator of the type of winter we will be experiencing soon. The ice has turned to slush now, but, will be returning………”

   Cambridge Bay 17/9/2014 12:00 69°06.7’N 105°04.1’W

   http://northwestpassage2014.blogspot.co.uk/2014/09/sv-gjoa-hauls-out-on-hard-in-cambridge.html

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