Paul Homewood discusses BBC claims that Heatwaves are more likely due to climate change. And because 2014 was the “hottest” year.
So I decided to look at the HADCET MAXTEMP data.
Not the average. The maximum.
I then arbitrarily set the heatwave boundary at 25C.
And then calculated the number of days over 25 and the longest stretch (ie Heatwave).
Guess what? 2014 barely ranks. Only 8 days above 25. 1911 had 29! (See large table at bottom for 25C heatwaves)
What if I set the Heatwave definition at 30C? There are only 8 years that have days over 30C.
1976 is the winner. And 1976 was 39 years ago! (Corrected from 30)
The 30C days and temps.
“1976-07-01” “1976-07-02” “1976-07-03” “1976-07-04” “1976-07-05” “1976-07-06” “1976-07-07”
“30.6” “31.8” “33.2” “31.4” “31.4” “31.6” “30.4”
30C Heatwaves
Year | Days | Longest Heatwave |
1976 | 9 | 7 |
1995 | 5 | 4 |
1975 | 4 | 2 |
1906 | 3 | 3 |
1948 | 3 | 3 |
2006 | 3 | 2 |
1923 | 2 | 2 |
1990 | 2 | 2 |
25C Heatwave.
Year | Days | Longest Heatwave |
1976 | 33 | 16 |
1995 | 33 | 10 |
1911 | 29 | 4 |
2006 | 26 | 7 |
1947 | 25 | 10 |
2003 | 23 | 10 |
1949 | 22 | 6 |
1933 | 21 | 6 |
1893 | 19 | 6 |
1921 | 19 | 6 |
1955 | 19 | 5 |
1975 | 19 | 8 |
1983 | 18 | 7 |
1989 | 18 | 7 |
1899 | 17 | 4 |
1887 | 16 | 3 |
1959 | 16 | 3 |
1990 | 16 | 4 |
1997 | 16 | 7 |
2013 | 16 | 8 |
2005 | 15 | 5 |
1884 | 14 | 5 |
1900 | 14 | 3 |
1935 | 14 | 4 |
1999 | 14 | 5 |
2001 | 13 | 5 |
1941 | 12 | 3 |
1878 | 11 | 6 |
1897 | 11 | 4 |
1898 | 11 | 5 |
1934 | 11 | 8 |
1970 | 11 | 5 |
1984 | 10 | 5 |
1901 | 9 | 5 |
1925 | 9 | 3 |
1942 | 9 | 4 |
1982 | 9 | 2 |
1991 | 9 | 3 |
1994 | 9 | 3 |
1996 | 9 | 5 |
2004 | 9 | 2 |
1906 | 8 | 5 |
1929 | 8 | 3 |
1957 | 8 | 4 |
1960 | 8 | 3 |
1969 | 8 | 3 |
1986 | 8 | 4 |
2014 | 8 | 5 |
1896 | 7 | 2 |
1919 | 7 | 2 |
1923 | 7 | 3 |
1944 | 7 | 3 |
1952 | 7 | 2 |
1973 | 7 | 4 |
1886 | 6 | 3 |
1895 | 6 | 2 |
1908 | 6 | 3 |
1914 | 6 | 2 |
1926 | 6 | 4 |
1937 | 6 | 2 |
1940 | 6 | 4 |
1945 | 6 | 3 |
1946 | 6 | 5 |
1961 | 6 | 2 |
2010 | 6 | 2 |
2011 | 6 | 3 |
1881 | 5 | 2 |
1885 | 5 | 4 |
1918 | 5 | 3 |
1930 | 5 | 4 |
1948 | 5 | 5 |
1953 | 5 | 2 |
1977 | 5 | 5 |
1987 | 5 | 2 |
1992 | 5 | 2 |
1998 | 5 | 4 |
2000 | 5 | 3 |
2009 | 5 | 4 |
1891 | 4 | 4 |
1902 | 4 | 2 |
1904 | 4 | 2 |
1912 | 4 | 3 |
1922 | 4 | 2 |
1928 | 4 | 2 |
1932 | 4 | 2 |
1936 | 4 | 3 |
1939 | 4 | 4 |
1943 | 4 | 2 |
1950 | 4 | 4 |
1963 | 4 | 2 |
1968 | 4 | 2 |
2008 | 4 | 2 |
1894 | 3 | 2 |
1905 | 3 | 2 |
1917 | 3 | 2 |
1978 | 3 | 2 |
1980 | 3 | 2 |
1988 | 3 | 2 |
2002 | 3 | 2 |
1880 | 2 | 2 |
1924 | 2 | 2 |
1972 | 2 | 2 |
1976 was 39 years ago 🙂
There you go destroying another good BBC scare story with FACTS, that just won’t do you know. Everyone knows the BBC, Guardian and even the Met Office are not in the slightest interested in facts.
Reblogged this on Climate- Science.