Antarctic Minimum Approaching – Day 49 – 2019

UPDATE: The post was premature. It may be day 59.

Antarctic minimum is approaching (or may have occurred) 2017 and 2018 were lowest minimums. 2019 is 10th lowest (although that may change a bit).

That kind of oscillation is “normal” and getting larger. The oscillation graph is just Day 49 but thats close to the normal day of min.

Year Min Max day of Max day of Min Avg_Anomaly
2017 2.08 18.145 282 60 -0.904021753581
2018 2.15 18.222 273 49 -0.715287507005
1997 2.264 18.792 265 58 -0.262895726184
1993 2.281 18.71 263 50 -0.233008054951
2011 2.319 18.954 266 53 -0.152375178238
1984 2.382 18.37 266 58 -0.20397636284
2006 2.487 19.36 264 51 -0.192035452211
1992 2.492 18.467 255 54 -0.241630203122
1980 2.521 19.092 267 57 -0.390551802967
2019 2.544 48
1991 2.554 18.671 273 58 -0.108073808375
2000 2.582 19.159 272 49 0.106979086495
1996 2.597 18.831 267 56 0.12888072584
1985 2.602 18.931 254 50 -0.045367912714
2016 2.616 18.581 242 48 -0.438132935363
1988 2.639 18.785 277 55 -0.142789879716
2009 2.671 19.299 267 53 0.395643999844
1981 2.694 18.856 261 51 -0.210032677284
2002 2.697 18.116 252 51 -0.4313395618
1999 2.707 18.981 273 51 0.107734410803
1989 2.723 18.274 266 51 -0.227268328923
2007 2.723 19.086 272 50 0.034159068337
1998 2.772 19.244 258 56 0.085424821762
1990 2.784 18.379 273 53 -0.24335326043
2005 2.804 19.295 272 49 0.041931671077
2010 2.842 18.998 249 47 0.453843999844
1983 2.843 18.811 263 55 -0.256928852148
1982 2.89 18.55 246 54 -0.021131648978
1979 2.911 18.361 256 48 0.039939779594
1986 2.953 18.027 261 65 -0.555519016082
1987 3.01 18.524 258 52 -0.249198161098
1994 3.083 18.827 243 43 0.121022082036
2012 3.111 19.478 266 54 0.364189469009
2004 3.259 19.124 252 51 0.321249578299
1995 3.33 18.762 269 55 0.141808383406
2001 3.441 18.494 271 50 0.019676876556
2015 3.544 18.912 275 49 0.761153588885
2014 3.548 20.201 263 52 1.123178246419
2003 3.626 18.68 268 48 0.316339890255
2013 3.679 19.608 274 50 0.870657698474
2008 3.692 18.298 247 51 0.599159414364

South / North

Killer Toast and Killer Roast

Oh No!!!!   (This is soooo damaging to the “Experts” claim that PM 2.5 is bad for you)

Image result for killer toast

Experts found pollutant levels after cooking a roast turkey – with trimmings – were 13 times higher than those in central London (stock image) Burnt toast could expose people to more toxic air than if they were standing near a busy road, and cooking a Sunday roast can raise pollution levels to above those in city centres, research suggests. 

Experts found pollutant levels after cooking a roast turkey – with trimmings – were 13 times higher than those in central London.

And toasting two slices of bread caused twice as much air pollution as is seen in the city for 15 to 20 minutes – meaning three times the World Health Organisation’s safety limit.

Experts issued a public warning to families to open windows and turn on extractor fans to avoid exposure to dangerous levels of toxic airborne particles – which can trigger breathing problems and pose risks to the heart and circulation.

The AMO and Temperature

My Swedish is poor. But the graph is clear. Spitsbergen temperatures are in synch with the AMO. Some translated text below graph. (Thanks)

Grafen viser temperatursvinginger tilbake til slutten av 1800-tallet. Foto: Skjermdump

Contributing to making this part of the report a worrying reading is that the natural climate variations are not included in the used climate models. This is depressing, as it is well known that the air temperature around Svalbard is clearly influenced by the AMO (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation), which is a natural and periodic variation. This impact is actually mentioned in the report, and this realization ought to have been exploited.

Both the AMO and the air temperature in Longyearbyen have largely covaried since 1898 (see figure). The natural climate variations are thus far from unimportant, and explain better than all CO2-controlled climate models what actually takes place here in Longyearbyen.

AMO is known from measurements since 1856, and geological surveys show that AMO has been in unbroken function for at least the past 8000 years. So it is not likely that AMO will stop in the near future. AMO is currently passing a peak, and will in all likelihood decline over the next 30-35 years. We can all imagine how it will affect the Svalbard temperature. So the natural phenomenon of AMO ought to be included in the report’s assessment of the future climate in Longyearbyen with great emphasis, but does not.