Paul Homewood discusses BBC claims that Heatwaves are more likely due to climate change. And because 2014 was the “hottest” year.
So I decided to look at the HADCET MAXTEMP data.
Not the average. The maximum.
I then arbitrarily set the heatwave boundary at 25C.
And then calculated the number of days over 25 and the longest stretch (ie Heatwave).
Guess what? 2014 barely ranks. Only 8 days above 25. 1911 had 29! (See large table at bottom for 25C heatwaves)
What if I set the Heatwave definition at 30C? There are only 8 years that have days over 30C.
1976 is the winner. And 1976 was 39 years ago! (Corrected from 30)
The 30C days and temps.
“1976-07-01” “1976-07-02” “1976-07-03” “1976-07-04” “1976-07-05” “1976-07-06” “1976-07-07”
“30.6” “31.8” “33.2” “31.4” “31.4” “31.6” “30.4”
30C Heatwaves
| Year | Days | Longest Heatwave |
| 1976 | 9 | 7 |
| 1995 | 5 | 4 |
| 1975 | 4 | 2 |
| 1906 | 3 | 3 |
| 1948 | 3 | 3 |
| 2006 | 3 | 2 |
| 1923 | 2 | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 2 |
25C Heatwave.
| Year | Days | Longest Heatwave |
| 1976 | 33 | 16 |
| 1995 | 33 | 10 |
| 1911 | 29 | 4 |
| 2006 | 26 | 7 |
| 1947 | 25 | 10 |
| 2003 | 23 | 10 |
| 1949 | 22 | 6 |
| 1933 | 21 | 6 |
| 1893 | 19 | 6 |
| 1921 | 19 | 6 |
| 1955 | 19 | 5 |
| 1975 | 19 | 8 |
| 1983 | 18 | 7 |
| 1989 | 18 | 7 |
| 1899 | 17 | 4 |
| 1887 | 16 | 3 |
| 1959 | 16 | 3 |
| 1990 | 16 | 4 |
| 1997 | 16 | 7 |
| 2013 | 16 | 8 |
| 2005 | 15 | 5 |
| 1884 | 14 | 5 |
| 1900 | 14 | 3 |
| 1935 | 14 | 4 |
| 1999 | 14 | 5 |
| 2001 | 13 | 5 |
| 1941 | 12 | 3 |
| 1878 | 11 | 6 |
| 1897 | 11 | 4 |
| 1898 | 11 | 5 |
| 1934 | 11 | 8 |
| 1970 | 11 | 5 |
| 1984 | 10 | 5 |
| 1901 | 9 | 5 |
| 1925 | 9 | 3 |
| 1942 | 9 | 4 |
| 1982 | 9 | 2 |
| 1991 | 9 | 3 |
| 1994 | 9 | 3 |
| 1996 | 9 | 5 |
| 2004 | 9 | 2 |
| 1906 | 8 | 5 |
| 1929 | 8 | 3 |
| 1957 | 8 | 4 |
| 1960 | 8 | 3 |
| 1969 | 8 | 3 |
| 1986 | 8 | 4 |
| 2014 | 8 | 5 |
| 1896 | 7 | 2 |
| 1919 | 7 | 2 |
| 1923 | 7 | 3 |
| 1944 | 7 | 3 |
| 1952 | 7 | 2 |
| 1973 | 7 | 4 |
| 1886 | 6 | 3 |
| 1895 | 6 | 2 |
| 1908 | 6 | 3 |
| 1914 | 6 | 2 |
| 1926 | 6 | 4 |
| 1937 | 6 | 2 |
| 1940 | 6 | 4 |
| 1945 | 6 | 3 |
| 1946 | 6 | 5 |
| 1961 | 6 | 2 |
| 2010 | 6 | 2 |
| 2011 | 6 | 3 |
| 1881 | 5 | 2 |
| 1885 | 5 | 4 |
| 1918 | 5 | 3 |
| 1930 | 5 | 4 |
| 1948 | 5 | 5 |
| 1953 | 5 | 2 |
| 1977 | 5 | 5 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 |
| 1998 | 5 | 4 |
| 2000 | 5 | 3 |
| 2009 | 5 | 4 |
| 1891 | 4 | 4 |
| 1902 | 4 | 2 |
| 1904 | 4 | 2 |
| 1912 | 4 | 3 |
| 1922 | 4 | 2 |
| 1928 | 4 | 2 |
| 1932 | 4 | 2 |
| 1936 | 4 | 3 |
| 1939 | 4 | 4 |
| 1943 | 4 | 2 |
| 1950 | 4 | 4 |
| 1963 | 4 | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 2 |
| 2008 | 4 | 2 |
| 1894 | 3 | 2 |
| 1905 | 3 | 2 |
| 1917 | 3 | 2 |
| 1978 | 3 | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 2 |
| 2002 | 3 | 2 |
| 1880 | 2 | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 2 |