Aug 21 2014 MASIE Update – Bigger Drop
Data here. Click for bigger.
| Region | 145 days ago | End | Last 144 | Last 28 | Last 14 | Last 7 | Last 3 | Last 1 |
| East Siberian Sea | 1,087,137 | 588,515 | -498,622 | -398,333 | -268,938 | -107,813 | -44,380 | -25,526 |
| Central Arctic | 3,221,921 | 3,029,140 | -192,781 | -160,499 | -151,074 | -88,918 | -29,112 | -22,291 |
| Greenland Sea | 603,416 | 248,799 | -354,617 | -106,591 | -37,702 | -31,239 | -3,775 | -20,988 |
| Laptev Sea | 897,845 | 19,064 | -878,781 | -329,472 | -158,993 | -59,618 | -24,066 | -18,892 |
| Hudson Bay | 1,260,903 | 59,143 | -1,201,761 | -160,617 | -81,006 | -33,992 | -10,123 | -17,342 |
| Kara Sea | 933,859 | 157,559 | -776,300 | -282,627 | -77,321 | -49,383 | -43,044 | -16,092 |
| Beaufort Sea | 1,070,445 | 703,727 | -366,718 | -112,742 | -127,249 | -85,738 | -49,207 | -12,265 |
| Chukchi Sea | 966,006 | 425,660 | -540,346 | -202,362 | -130,142 | -79,760 | -50,568 | -11,918 |
| Canadian Archipelago | 853,214 | 511,030 | -342,184 | -183,684 | -121,614 | -42,312 | -12,514 | -8,499 |
| Barents Sea | 645,917 | 109,261 | -536,656 | 22,964 | 11,544 | -2,894 | -684 | -4,466 |
| Baffin Bay Gulf of St. Lawrence | 1,688,530 | 10,157 | -1,678,374 | -101,523 | -39,742 | -10,549 | -1,651 | -925 |
| Bering Sea | 697,324 | 0 | -697,324 | -15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Baltic Sea | 15,337 | 0 | -15,337 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sea of Okhotsk | 853,240 | 0 | -853,240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Sea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Northern Hemisphere (Total) | 14,805,115 | 5,863,197 | -8,941,918 | -2,015,501 | -1,182,237 | -592,217 | -269,125 | -159,205 |
| NH (Average Loss per Day) | -61,668 | -71,982 | -84,446 | -84,602 | -89,708 | -159,205 |
sunshine hours 
Remember, this is the end of Solar Cycle 24. The energy has been delivered to the Oceans and Arctic, and the Sun is in the Northern hemisphere. The heat will only be dissipated to space as the 10.7cm Flux decreases.
The 10.7cm Flux is a measure of the thermal heating in the upper atmosphere [actually, Solar UV excited electrons in the thermosphere emitting radiation]. It must be less than 100sfu for the “cover to be removed”. In the mean time, we must deal with wind, waves, and existing Arctic Ocean heat.
jlurtz,do you have a time-frame for when this might occur?
Right now the Flux is at 128 sfu. On 8/10 it was 105 sfu. According to space weather predictions, 9/8 through 9/18 the sfu will be 100. Say 4 months from now, December, the average sfu could stabilize at 100 or less: right in time for Winter….
Thank you. What is the average flux during the middle of summer or its’ high point (whenever that is)?