Arctic Sea Ice 2013 – Where is the Death Spiral?

If someone claims Arctic Sea Ice is in a death spiral, you can mention that right now 2013 is the 7th lowest and not the lowest.

And that 2013 has even more ice than 1989 at this point in the year.

Lowest 7 = 2006 2004 2011 2007 1989 2005 2013

And that Extent is within one standard deviation of the 1981 – 2010 mean. And only 340,000 sq km below the mean which is about 2.5%.

Arctic_Sea_Ice_Extent_Zoomed_2013_Day_124_1981-2010

 

Arctic Sea Ice – April Trends – Last 10 Years Looking Ok!

I saw the following article at the NSIDC site about the trend for April Sea Ice Extent in the Arctic.

NSIDC_Arctic_April_2013

And I wondered what it would look like if I just graphed the last 10 years. And I thought … looking ok.

Arctic Sea Ice Extent for April Since 2004

And then I though … how about the last 20 years with a loess curve? Don’t you think the NSIDC articles words are misleading?

Arctic Sea Ice Extent for April Since 1994