9.25F Drop in Two Years – NOAA USA November 2018 Max Temp 22nd Coldest

A 9.25F Drop in Two Years – Max Temperature.

Top 21 States in terms of negative anomaly.

The average temperature had a 7.89F drop in two years. 

It was the 27th coldest November in terms of Average Temperature in the USA. (1 would be coldest)

-1.61F below the mean.

 

 

We’re about to kill a massive, accidental experiment in reducing global warming

I’ve always thought that clean air laws decreased SO2 , increased sunshine and therefore warming.

Well … there is a new law that may change climate.

In effect, the shipping industry has been carrying out an unintentional experiment in climate engineering for more than a century. Global mean temperatures could be as much as 0.25 ˚C lower than they would otherwise have been, based on the mean “forcing effect” calculated by a 2009 study that pulled together other findings (see “The Growing Case for Geoengineering”). For a world struggling to keep temperatures from rising more than 2 ˚C, that’s a big helping hand.

And we’re about to take it away.

In 2016, the UN’s International Maritime Organization announced that by 2020, international shipping vessels will have to significantly cut sulfur pollution. Specifically, ship owners must switch to fuels with no more than 0.5 percent sulfur content, down from the current 3.5 percent, or install exhaust cleaning systems that achieve the same reduction, Shell noted in a brochure for customers.

There are very good reasons to cut sulfur: it contributes to both ozone depletion and acid rain, and it can cause or exacerbate respiratory problems.

But as a 2009 paper in Environmental Science & Technology noted, limiting sulfur emissions is a double-edged sword. “Given these reductions, shipping will, relative to present-day impacts, impart a ‘double warming’ effect: one from [carbon dioxide], and one from the reduction of [sulfur dioxide],” wrote the authors. “Therefore, after some decades the net climate effect of shipping will shift from cooling to warming.”

Sulfur pollution from coal burning has a similar effect. Some studies suggest that China’s surge in coal consumption over the last decade partly offset the recent global warming trend (though coal does have a strong net warming effect).

It’s difficult to estimate how much the new rule could affect temperatures. We don’t know enough about cloud physics and the behavior of atmospheric particles, nor how diligently the shipping industry will comply with the new rule, says Robert Wood, a professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Washington.

Another wrinkle is that ships emit other particles that can sometimes also stimulate cloud droplets to form, including black carbon, a major component of soot. Removing the sulfur from the fuel could alter the size and quantity of these particles, which could affect clouds as well, says Lynn Russell, a professor of atmospheric science at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography.

“So we can’t really say exactly what the change will be,” says Russell, though she adds that the rule change is “likely” to produce a warming effect on balance.

… read the rest: https://www.technologyreview.com/s/610007/were-about-to-kill-a-massive-accidental-experiment-in-halting-global-warming/

 

PS There is a problem with the expensive scrubbers that are an alternative to low sulphur fuel.  The ships dump the waste into the ocean. The waste will be sulphuric acid (and more)

BC Tmax Grid

Environment Canada Monthly Summary Grid by Decade
Tmax – 25 years worth of data or more – 80% of data – End Year 2015/16/17
British Columbia

2010s are the hottest decade 25% of the time, but I would argue overrepresentation due to many stations only going back to the 1970s.

The 1950s are the least hot decade. By far.

Station Station No Records Min Year Max Year pct of data 2010s 2000s 1990s 1980s 1970s 1960s 1950s 1940s 1930s 1920s 1910s 1900s 1890s 1880s
AGASSIZ CDA 1100120 1506 1889 2017 97.3 22.49 22.75 22.67 22.2 21.84 22.22 21.61 22.56 22.55 22.41 21.53 22.2 23.1 15
FORT ST JAMES 1092970 1473 1895 2017 99.8 16.71 17.8 17.58 17.81 17.06 17.12 15.96 16.75 17.97 17.64 16.57 16.7 17.39
QUATSINO 1036570 1428 1895 2017 96.7 17.14 18.65 19.54 18.82 17.99 18.78 18.38 19.07 17.84 17.38 17.51 17.2 17.39
GOLDEN A 1173210 1366 1902 2017 98.1 18.82 18.59 18.63 18.5 18.41 19.6 19.58 20.39 20 17.7 17.9 18.86
KASLO 1143900 1288 1894 2017 86.6 19.85 19.63 19.68 18.95 18.65 18.93 18.15 19.03 19.11 18.03 16.96 17.89 17.42
SHAWNIGAN LAKE 1017230 1250 1913 2017 99.2 21.05 21.04 21.15 20.54 20.06 20.66 20.81 21.14 21.61 21.19 20.96
VAVENBY 1168520 1245 1913 2017 98.8 21.14 21.76 20.56 20.08 20.21 21.03 19.88 21.18 22.08 21.62 21.2
SAANICHTON CDA 1016940 1243 1914 2017 99.6 19.62 20.14 20.28 19.81 19.41 19.32 18.72 18.92 19.25 19.55 19.5
FERNIE 1152850 1216 1913 2017 96.5 19.91 20.21 19.97 20.02 19.44 19.12 18.35 18.5 19.48 18.68 18.54
ESTEVAN POINT 1032730 1134 1908 2017 85.9 16.64 16.09 16.61 16.28 15.6 16.02 15.64 16.48 16.16 16.18 8.9 15.43
PACHENA POINT 1035940 1102 1924 2017 97.7 17.6 17.39 18.65 17.25 16.52 16.6 16.14 17.24 17.06 16.47
OKANAGAN CENTRE 1125700 1075 1926 2017 97.4 22.06 21.85 21.83 21.19 20.53 21.28 20.63 21.75 22.71 21.09
LANGARA 1054500 977 1936 2017 99.3 13.87 14.22 14 13.67 13.41 13.76 13.53 14.23 14.24
PRINCETON A 1126510 970 1936 2017 98.6 21.86 22.08 21.54 21.57 20.97 21.07 20.31 21.68 20.98
OLIVER STP 1125766 963 1924 2017 85.4 23.87 24.18 23.78 23.09 23.04 23.53 22.79 24.55 24.5 24.16
SMITHERS A 1077500 907 1942 2017 99.5 17.95 17.91 17.54 17.67 17.42 17.59 16.96 17.76
COMOX A 1021830 882 1944 2017 99.3 19.47 19.81 19.68 19.61 19.1 19.39 19.06 19.82
SANDSPIT A 1057050 831 1945 2017 94.9 15.4 15.64 15.51 15.67 14.75 15.08 15.06 14.19
COWICHAN LAKE FORESTRY 1012040 777 1949 2017 93.8 21.1 21.29 21.71 21.48 21.25 20.98 19.94 24.59
KITIMAT TOWNSITE 1064320 756 1954 2017 98.4 18.61 18.38 18.25 17.68 17.33 18.02 18.11
TOFINO A 1038205 747 1943 2017 83 19.03 18.74 18.95 18.89 18.44 18.52 17.38 19.95
KEMANO 1064020 732 1951 2017 91 19.94 19.2 18.59 17.95 16.9 18.16 18.12
MCINNES ISLAND 1065010 699 1955 2017 92.5 15.13 15.55 15.55 15.43 14.75 14.98 15.38
POWELL RIVER A 1046391 695 1954 2017 90.5 19.61 19.16 19.33 19.54 19.15 19.66 18.44
MERRY ISLAND LIGHTSTATION 1045100 683 1960 2017 98.1 18.42 18.36 17.98 17.89 17.38 17.76
OOTSA L SKINS L SPILLWAY 1085835 680 1956 2017 91.4 17.18 16.55 16.54 16.28 16.54 17.12 15.91
MICA DAM 1175122 666 1951 2017 82.8 16.88 16.82 17.17 16.63 16.48 16.18 29.97
MISSION WEST ABBEY 1105192 663 1962 2017 98.7 21.22 21.25 21.31 21.03 20.41 20.47
QUALICUM R FISH RESEARCH 1026565 660 1962 2017 98.2 19.68 19.43 19.54 18.96 18.37 18.8
HANEY UBC RF ADMIN 1103332 656 1961 2017 95.9 21.82 21.58 21.54 21.44 20.46 20.69
WILLIAM HEAD 1018935 654 1959 2017 92.4 18.36 19.44 18.76 18.06 17.91 18.15 14.45
DARFIELD 1162265 651 1962 2017 96.9 21.23 21.01 20.93 21.25 20.97 20.94
VANCOUVER HARBOUR CS 1108446 640 1958 2017 88.9 19.63 19.65 20.11 19.1 18.67 19.76 19.5
DUNCAN LAKE DAM 1142574 637 1963 2017 96.5 19.39 19.57 19.67 19.15 19.22 19.56
CASTLEGAR A 1141455 625 1965 2017 98.3 22.29 21.95 21.78 21.51 21.25 21.19
BONILLA ISLAND 1060902 622 1965 2017 97.8 14.57 14.82 14.8 14.3 13.43 13.87
CAMPBELL RIVER A 1021261 621 1965 2017 97.6 20.16 20.55 20.26 20.15 20.09 19.76
BURNABY SIMON FRASER U 1101158 619 1965 2017 97.3 18.46 19.35 20.37 19.32 19.58 20.31
EGG ISLAND 1062646 608 1965 2017 95.6 14.89 15.61 15.63 15.33 14.9 15.23
MERRITT STP 1125079 589 1968 2017 98.2 22.99 23.14 22.76 22.77 22.35 21.51
TERRACE PCC 1068131 589 1968 2017 98.2 19.01 18.5 18.77 18.47 17.68 18.39
NEW DENVER 1145460 587 1967 2017 95.9 20.54 21 19.78 19.52 19.64 20.35
KITIMAT 2 1064321 575 1966 2017 92.1 20.5 18.84 18.96 18.28 17.47 17.41
BLUE RIVER A 1160899 571 1969 2017 97.1 19.09 18.6 19.19 18.73 18.43 3.9
TOPLEY LANDING 1078209 562 1962 2017 83.6 17.25 16.58 16.74 16.63 16.36 16.38
FT STEELE DANDY CRK 1153034 561 1968 2017 93.5 20.49 20.38 20.94 21.39 20.18 21.6
GIBSONS GOWER POINT 1043152 558 1970 2017 96.9 18.77 18.31 18.65 18.61 18.05
KOOTENAY NP WEST GATE 1154410 556 1968 2017 92.7 19.81 19.96 19.2 19.37 18.91 18.03
MCLEESE LAKE GRANITE MT 1095018 541 1972 2017 98 17.44 16.75 16.97 17.07 16.74
CASTLEGAR BCHPA DAM 1141457 535 1969 2017 91 21.3 21.95 21.01 20.79 20.54 24.04
FORDING RIVER COMINCO 1152899 535 1970 2017 92.9 15.37 16.35 15.28 16 16.22
N VANC GROUSE MTN RESORT 1105658 521 1971 2017 92.4 16.19 18.24 17.08 16.18 15.51
PLEASANT CAMP 1206197 518 1974 2017 98.1 14.77 13.92 14.3 13.88 13.76
QUINSAM RIVER HATCHERY 1026639 504 1975 2017 97.7 20.12 20.55 20.45 19.79 19.84
PRINCE GEORGE STP 1096468 503 1975 2017 97.5 19.56 19.44 19.3 19.29 18.79
GALIANO NORTH 10130MN 502 1975 2017 97.3 19.7 18.89 19.9 19.76 19.68
SALTSPRING ST MARY’S L 1016995 496 1975 2017 96.1 20.15 19.78 20.02 19.41 19.04
HOPE SLIDE 1113581 495 1975 2017 95.9 19.2 18.74 18.94 19.36 18.09
BOAT BLUFF 1060901 491 1974 2017 93 18.51 18.05 18.61 18.28 18.76
WHISTLER 1048898 489 1976 2017 97 19.79 19.41 19.87 19.37 18.41
PORT MOODY GLENAYRE 1106CL2 481 1970 2017 83.5 20.79 20.56 20.94 20.78 19.98
DRYAD POINT 1062544 477 1977 2017 97 18.28 18.29 18.58 18.19 16.73
RICHMOND NATURE PARK 1106PF7 473 1977 2017 96.1 21.93 21.13 21.02 21.03 20.85
ADDENBROKE ISLAND 1060080 472 1978 2017 98.3 17.32 17.65 17.28 16.9 16.91
CAPE MUDGE 1021330 465 1978 2017 96.9 19.59 19.23 19.19 18.55 17.42
GREEN ISLAND 1063298 463 1978 2017 96.5 15.2 15.04 15.28 15.02 14.05
NOOTKA LIGHTSTATION 1035614 463 1978 2017 96.5 17.81 18.47 18.42 18.48 18.12
VANDERHOOF 1098D90 441 1980 2017 96.7 19.4 19.63 19.18 19.27
QUATSINO LIGHTSTATION 1036572 438 1978 2017 91.2 18.19 18.27 18.79 17.86 17.29
SPARWOOD 1157630 433 1980 2017 95 19.29 18.97 18.94 19.23
COURTENAY GRANTHAM 1021988 421 1979 2017 90 19.09 19.69 20.13 19.84 12.5
CHETWYND A 1181508 414 1982 2017 95.8 19.17 18.91 18.96 18.71
EQUITY SILVER 1072692 413 1981 2017 93 13.11 13.71 13.24 13.64
GOLDSTREAM RIVER 1173242 413 1982 2017 95.6 18.64 17.37 17.28 17.27
SPOKIN LAKE 4E 1097646 412 1983 2017 98.1 18.6 18.51 18.19 18.17
BELLA COOLA A 1060841 410 1983 2017 97.6 20.64 20.2 20.25 20.32
N VAN SEYMOUR HATCHERY 110N666 408 1981 2017 91.9 20.04 20.08 20.57 20.43
SUSKWA VALLEY 107G879 408 1982 2017 94.4 16.78 17.17 16.9 16.68
NITINAT RIVER HATCHERY 1035612 405 1981 2017 91.2 22.13 21.87 21.85 22.09
LITTLE QUALICUM HATCHERY 1024638 401 1981 2017 90.3 20.42 20.69 20.25 20.14
CAPE BEALE LIGHT 1031316 393 1984 2017 96.3 17.37 16.7 17.18 17.16
WASA 1158730 391 1983 2017 93.1 20.49 21.18 20.35 20.31
BILLINGS 1140876 389 1984 2017 95.3 21.61 22.02 21.9 22.1
SATURNA ISLAND CS 1017101 374 1980 2017 82 17.91 19.67 18.78 18.47
DELTA TSAWWASSEN BEACH 1102425 365 1987 2017 98.1 19.24 18.69 18.91 19.29
108 MILE HOUSE ABEL LAKE 109E7R6 360 1987 2017 96.8 20.32 19.93 19.49 21.07
NELSON NE 1145442 358 1983 2017 85.2 20.88 20.72 20.33 19.23
100 MILE HOUSE 6NE 1165793 353 1987 2017 94.9 18.96 19.64 19.42 21.48
MIDWAY 1135126 352 1988 2017 97.8 22.92 22.87 22.25 23.08
KAMLOOPS PRATT ROAD 116C8P0 350 1988 2017 97.2 20.07 20.25 19.96 21.25
COURTENAY PUNTLEDGE 1021989 349 1986 2017 90.9 20.58 20.67 21.26 21.85
CRISS CREEK 1162177 345 1988 2017 95.8 18.29 18.13 17.82 16.57
UCLUELET KENNEDY CAMP 1038332 344 1988 2017 95.6 19.31 19.3 19.17 17.88
SILVER CREEK 1167337 340 1989 2017 97.7 21.38 21.25 21.27 24.07
PINE ISLAND 1026170 338 1986 2017 88 14.72 15.53 15.44 15.99
SUMMERLAND CS 112G8L1 331 1990 2017 98.5 22.32 22.35 22.18
OSOYOOS CS 1125852 328 1990 2017 97.6 23.71 24.41 24.81
SALMON ARM CS 116FRMN 324 1991 2017 100 21.33 21.4 21.79
VERNON NORTH 1128583 324 1990 2017 96.4 21.29 20.97 21.04
TRIPLE ISLAND 1068250 321 1989 2017 92.2 14.45 14.16 14.24 16.71
NAKUSP CS 1145297 318 1991 2017 98.1 20.62 20.32 20.18
NELSON RIXEN CREEK 114EMDM 315 1991 2017 97.2 21.01 20.75 20.59
PORT ALBERNI COX LAKE 1036208 313 1987 2017 84.1 21.71 21.38 22.58 23.35
ENTRANCE ISLAND 102BFHH 310 1987 2017 83.3 17.57 17.33 17.69 18.28
MALAHAT 1014820 308 1991 2017 95.1 19.34 20.52 20.52
SHERINGHAM POINT 1017254 307 1992 2017 98.4 17.96 18.8 19.18
PORT ALBERNI (AUT) 1036B06 301 1992 2017 96.5 22.06 22.11 20.73
NANAIMO A 1025370 826 1947 2016 98.3 21.17 21.18 21.41 21.59 21.01 21.11 20.64 20.79
CHATHAM POINT 1021480 661 1958 2016 93.4 17.49 17.64 17.54 17.44 17.12 17.54 17.96
ALBERNI ROBERTSON CREEK 1030230 646 1961 2016 96.1 21.54 21.43 21.99 21.97 21.32 21.41
WINFIELD 1128958 541 1971 2016 98 21.28 21.27 20.97 20.71 20.37
CAPE SCOTT 1031353 507 1965 2016 81.2 12.94 14.95 15.33 14.88 14.6 15.25
GOLD RIVER TOWNSITE 1033232 502 1966 2016 82 21.77 22.09 22.04 22.13 21.81 21.36
STEWART A 1067742 498 1974 2016 96.5 16.89 16.42 16.62 16.62 15.68
CHILLIWACK R HATCHERY 1101N65 378 1984 2016 95.5 21.32 21.54 21.73 21.83
MCLEESE LAKE FRASERVIEW 1095015 373 1980 2016 84 23.95 22.52 21.81 21.42
DUNCAN KELVIN CREEK 1012573 336 1987 2016 93.3 21.1 21.75 22.47 21.54
BUFFALO LAKE 1161104 309 1990 2016 95.4 18.6 18.2 18
SIKANNI CHIEF 1187335 308 1990 2016 95.1 16.03 16.55 16.83
PORT ALICE 1036240 708 1956 2015 98.3 19.97 19.74 19.93 19.84 19.21 19.33 19.09
WARDNER KTNY HATCHERY 1158692 478 1971 2015 88.5 22 21.95 21.7 21.45 20.89
MYRA CREEK 1025254 382 1979 2015 86 20.42 20.78 20.49 20.4 22.36

Alberta Tmin/Tmax Monthly Summaries For Stations with 25 years of data.

Environment Canada Monthly Summary Grid For Months (1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12) by Decade

Red is Highest , Blue is Lowest

I posted the other about how Alberta isn’t suffering from a heat wave even if the average has gone up.

The average has gone up because the Tmin is higher, not Tmax (Generally)

So these are the stations with 25 years of data ending in 2015/2106/2017.

Notice that most stations Tmin are hottest in the 2010s and coldest in the 1970s (if there is 70s data)

Tmin

 

Station Station No Records Min Year Max Year pct of data 2010s 2000s 1990s 1980s 1970s 1960s 1950s 1940s 1930s 1920s 1910s 1900s 1890s 1880s
KANANASKIS 3053600 928 1939 2017 97.9 -13.64 -14.43 -14.18 -14.45 -14.53 -15.01 -15.47 -14.06 -10.56
CAMROSE 3011240 836 1946 2017 96.8 -13.1 -13.9 -13.84 -12.53 -14.47 -14.09 -14.87 -15.3
COLD LAKE A 3081680 781 1952 2017 98.6 -12.6 -13.38 -14.42 -14.2 -15.02 -15.1 -14.9
FORT SASKATCHEWAN 3012710 686 1958 2017 95.3 -13.28 -14.05 -13.39 -13.93 -14.12 -13.42 -10.66
EDMONTON STONY PLAIN 301222F 623 1966 2017 99.8 -10.33 -10.74 -11.02 -11.12 -12.14 -11.41
QUEENSTOWN 3035340 612 1966 2017 98.1 -11.99 -10.91 -11.86 -11.19 -12.11 -11.92
CRAIGMYLE 3021940 604 1960 2017 86.8 -13.65 -13.63 -13.6 -10.71 -14.55 -13.52
FORESTBURG PLANT SITE 3012652 586 1967 2017 95.8 -10.82 -10.74 -11.33 -10.95 -13.22 -9.64
HIGH LEVEL A 3073146 567 1970 2017 98.4 -17.04 -17.59 -18.19 -18.73 -19.38
SIMONETTE 3075937 520 1973 2017 96.3 -12.02 -14.68 -12.97 -13.26 -14.65
KANANASKIS POCATERRA 3053604 448 1976 2017 88.9 -14.27 -16.83 -16.33 -17.15 -18.45
VEGREVILLE 3016GF0 446 1980 2017 97.8 -14.25 -14.9 -15.12 -14.58
FABYAN 3012515 431 1981 2017 97.1 -13.91 -13.86 -14.86 -14.38
LLOYDMINSTER A 3013961 429 1982 2017 99.3 -12.22 -13.09 -13.93 -13.18
ELK ISLAND NAT PARK 3012275 383 1981 2017 86.3 -12.52 -13.62 -12.76 -13.62
BRULE BLACK CAT 3060903 367 1987 2017 98.7 -13.34 -14.65 -15.36 -14.27
UNIVERSITY OF ALBERTA METABOLIC CENTRE 301FFNJ 365 1986 2017 95.1 -10.57 -12.85 -12.32 -11.63
ENTWISTLE 3062451 362 1987 2017 97.3 -12.23 -13.14 -12.83 -13.94
OKOTOKS 303M9JM 332 1990 2017 98.8 -11.41 -11.86 -11.81
PICTURE BUTTE WEST 303N1G3 331 1987 2017 89 -7.45 -8.7 -10.88 -11.29
BROOKS 3030QLP 311 1988 2017 86.4 -12.41 -12.18 -11.98 -14.86
LETHBRIDGE CDA 3033890 1234 1908 2016 94.3 -11.15 -10.56 -10.63 -11.42 -12.69 -12.24 -12.92 -12.19 -12.78 -13.66 -13.95 -13.82
CALMAR 3011120 1108 1915 2016 90.5 -4.94 -13.32 -14.55 -13.32 -14.94 -14.79 -15.02 -15.89 -16.57 -17.32 -19.21
DAKOTA WEST 3011953 491 1974 2016 95.2 -13.99 -13.37 -14.02 -13.71 -15.09
CAMROSE 2 3011241 327 1985 2016 85.2 -13.65 -13.97 -14.51 -12.59
SEDGEWICK TOWN 3015808 324 1987 2016 90 -10.41 -13.94 -13.49 -16.03
OLDS 3024920 1171 1914 2015 95.7 -11.53 -11.22 -12 -12.22 -13.41 -13.16 -13.56 -12.94 -13.59 -14.68 -15.29
EDMONTON WOODBEND 3012230 501 1973 2015 97.1 -13.76 -13.82 -14.28 -14.02 -15.52

 

Notice Tmax red is scattered all over. If anything, the 2010s have a lot of lowest Tmax in blue.

Tmax

Station Station No Records Min Year Max Year pct of data 2010s 2000s 1990s 1980s 1970s 1960s 1950s 1940s 1930s 1920s 1910s 1900s 1890s 1880s
KANANASKIS 3053600 934 1939 2017 98.5 19.98 20.06 19.72 19.71 18.94 19.13 18.65 19.79 22
CAMROSE 3011240 836 1946 2017 96.8 19.18 19.63 19.02 19.37 17.89 18.82 18.88 19.99
COLD LAKE A 3081680 781 1952 2017 98.6 18.22 18.31 18.27 18.35 17.37 17.98 17.09
FORT SASKATCHEWAN 3012710 688 1958 2017 95.6 20.1 19.65 19.24 18.4 18.39 19.17 20.41
EDMONTON STONY PLAIN 301222F 623 1966 2017 99.8 19.7 19.65 19.3 19.22 18.32 18.41
QUEENSTOWN 3035340 612 1966 2017 98.1 21.96 22.53 22.25 22.65 21.69 21.16
CRAIGMYLE 3021940 607 1960 2017 87.2 20.65 20.77 20.33 22.84 20.48 21.64
FORESTBURG PLANT SITE 3012652 586 1967 2017 95.8 20.22 21.14 20.43 20.93 19.48 21.75
HIGH LEVEL A 3073146 567 1970 2017 98.4 17.13 16.55 16.46 16.81 16.24
SIMONETTE 3075937 519 1973 2017 96.1 18.43 18.69 19.73 19.79 19
VEGREVILLE 3016GF0 446 1980 2017 97.8 19.45 19 18.69 18.92
KANANASKIS POCATERRA 3053604 442 1976 2017 87.7 15.97 17.52 17.46 17.4 16.76
FABYAN 3012515 431 1981 2017 97.1 18.83 18.75 18.95 19.31
LLOYDMINSTER A 3013961 429 1982 2017 99.3 18.15 18.38 18.24 18.88
ELK ISLAND NAT PARK 3012275 383 1981 2017 86.3 20.13 20.16 20.11 18.64
BRULE BLACK CAT 3060903 367 1987 2017 98.7 19.53 20.39 19.92 21.39
UNIVERSITY OF ALBERTA METABOLIC CENTRE 301FFNJ 365 1986 2017 95.1 19.77 19.86 19.6 19.49
ENTWISTLE 3062451 362 1987 2017 97.3 19.7 19.97 19.86 20.22
OKOTOKS 303M9JM 332 1990 2017 98.8 22.17 22.25 21.81
PICTURE BUTTE WEST 303N1G3 331 1987 2017 89 25.06 24.79 22.75 23.74
BROOKS 3030QLP 311 1988 2017 86.4 22.54 22.86 22.69 20.92
LETHBRIDGE CDA 3033890 1234 1908 2016 94.3 22.91 23.8 22.93 23.58 22.17 22.88 21.98 22.79 23.18 22.25 22.77 23.92
CALMAR 3011120 1104 1915 2016 90.2 13.22 19.41 19.15 19.62 18.69 19.47 18.94 20.3 20.93 20.14 18.86
DAKOTA WEST 3011953 491 1974 2016 95.2 18.85 19.52 19.6 19.89 19.75
CAMROSE 2 3011241 326 1985 2016 84.9 18.07 19.53 19.29 20
SEDGEWICK TOWN 3015808 324 1987 2016 90 20.28 19.3 20.36 19.12
OLDS 3024920 1170 1914 2015 95.6 19.02 20.27 20 20.62 19.32 20.24 20.1 20.9 21.29 19.64 20.49
EDMONTON WOODBEND 3012230 501 1973 2015 97.1 19.8 20.26 20.02 20.64 19.01

Edmonton (two stations) and then Medicine Hat A

I was looking over Alberta weather data (Environment Canada monthly summaries) because some article said Edmonton was warming by some godawful amount.

When I looked at Edmonton weather data I found 23 stations. Some old, some recent, some only running for a few years.

I looked at EDMONTON CITY CENTRE A  – 1937 to 2005 – average of 11.9 records per year. Pretty complete.

I know, no data from 2010s. But the 1980s were hottest.

1980s 4.3
1990s 3.9
2000s 3.8
1970s 3.4
1960s 3.0
1940s 2.7
1950s 2.6
1930s 2.2

EDMONTON STONY PLAIN 1966 to 2018  – 12

2010s 4.3
2000s 4.1
1980s 3.8
1990s 3.8
1960s 2.7
1970s 2.6

2010s aren’t over.

Then I went looking for some old/new data in Alberta with long runs just to get a feel for the province.

MEDICINE HAT A – 1883 to 2008 11.9 record per year. Again, no 2010s.  Tragic that EC let old long stations die off.

1910s 6.4
1920s 6.2
1980s 6.2
2000s 6.2
1900s 6.0
1990s 5.9
1930s 5.8
1880s 5.3
1940s 5.3
1960s 5.3
1970s 5.0
1950s 4.9
1890s 4.7

I’ll do some more like this.

 

Biofuels = Centuries Long Increase in CO2

This paper is a pdf.

Biofules, biomass , wood pellets et al are a disaster if you believe more CO2 will cause Global Warming.

Does replacing coal with wood lower CO2 emissions?
Dynamic lifecycle analysis of wood bioenergy
John D. Sterman1
Lori Siegel2
Juliette N. Rooney-Varga3

 

In sum, although bioenergy from wood can lower long-run CO2 concentrations compared to
fossil fuels, its first impact is an increase in CO2, worsening global warming over the critical
period through 2100 even if the wood offsets coal, the most carbon-intensive fossil fuel.
Declaring that biofuels are carbon neutral as the EU and others have done, erroneously
assumes forest regrowth quickly and fully offsets the emissions from biofuel production and
combustion. The neutrality assumption is not valid because it ignores the transient, but
decades to centuries long, increase in CO2 caused by biofuels.

Burning Forests (to save coal)

A broken analog clock is right twice a day. So I’m quoting from the Guardian again.

A few quotes:

“In the middle of the 19th century, wood burning rose to such levels that western Europe was almost completely deforested. Ironically, the rise of coal burning saved the situation”

” carbon emissions will rise by 6% or possibly more if wood is allowed to continue to provide more and more of Europe’s energy output”

“Europe has increased its use of renewable energy sources to provide it with power, and about half of that rise has come from burning biomass. Unfortunately, says Beddington, if that increase continues Europe will soon need to burn an amount of wood greater than its total harvest and would have to seek sources from other continents. Either land for farming would be turned to biomass growing or precious natural habitats will be exploited, most probably the latter”

“In generating exactly the same amount of electricity, wood will release four times as much carbon into the atmosphere as gas would do, and one and half times as much as coal. In addition, energy is used in harvesting and transport while vast stretches of land are needed to create the forests to supply generating stations with the wood they need.”

Stop Burning Forests! Burn Natural Gas!

 

“A power plant burning wood chips will typically emit one and a half times the carbon dioxide of a plant burning coal and at least three times the carbon dioxide emitted by a power plant burning natural gas.

Although regrowing trees absorb carbon, trees grow slowly, and for some years a regrowing forest absorbs less carbon than if the forest were left unharvested.

Eventually, the new forest grows faster and the carbon it absorbs, plus the reduction in fossil fuels, can pay back the “carbon debt”, but that takes decades to centuries, depending on the forest type and use. We conservatively estimate that using deliberately harvested wood instead of fossil fuels will release at least twice as much carbon dioxide to the air by 2050 per kilowatt hour. Doing so turns a potential reduction in emissions from solar or wind into a large increase.”

 

Even The Guardian gets it …

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/dec/14/eu-must-not-burn-the-worlds-forests-for-renewable-energy