Death Spiral?

Death Spiral? Josh is on it!



Death Spiral in the Arctic Confusion – 2013 is 1,000,000 sq km Higher Than 2010

UPDATE: For this day, 2013 is closer to the maximum record than the minimum record.

Today’s ice extent is 11.48399 million sq km.


The minimum occurred in 2010 at 10.41433 million sq km – 1.07 million sq km lower than 2013.

The maximum occurred in 1981 at 12.38081 million sq km – .89 million sq km higher than 2013.

The Arctic Sea Ice Death Spiral is confused in 2013. It is now running 1,000,000 sq km higher than the lowest area on this day in 2010.


Arctic Sea Ice 2013 – Where is the Death Spiral?

If someone claims Arctic Sea Ice is in a death spiral, you can mention that right now 2013 is the 7th lowest and not the lowest.

And that 2013 has even more ice than 1989 at this point in the year.

Lowest 7 = 2006 2004 2011 2007 1989 2005 2013

And that Extent is within one standard deviation of the 1981 – 2010 mean. And only 340,000 sq km below the mean which is about 2.5%.