NSF Beclowns Itself With Scare Story About Genghis Khan And Perfect Weather

According to PNAS and the NSF and the Daily Mail, Genghis Khan conquered Asia because an ideal combination of warmth and rainfall caused grass production to rise..

All this conjecture about perfect weather leading to huge crops resulting in Genghis Khan conquering of Asia comes from the tree rings of only 17 trees.

“Between 1211 and 1225 – the exact time of the Mongols’ rise – central Mongolia saw one of its wettest, and warmest, periods for 1,000 years

“We propose that these climate conditions promoted high grassland productivity and favored the formation of Mongol political and military power.”

“They think the conditions created those needed for a boost in lush growth of grass, which would have fuelled the soldiers’ horses and fattened their livestock. The good weather lasted from 1211 to 1225 – the exact period when Genghis Khan and his armies rose to prominence.”

“Such a strong and unified center would have required a concentration of resources that only higher productivity could have sustained, in a land in which extensive pastoral production does not normally provide surplus resources,” the paper states.”

The incredible leap in logic from 17 tree rings is breathtaking. Maybe some goat herd tethered  goats to the trees and the urinated on them. There are many explanations for why a few trees grew better for exactly 14 years.

But even more amazing is that the lesson “we” the gullible should learn is that extreme weather will bring drought!

“The researchers said the trees, some of them more than 1,000 years old, gave them an indication of what the future could hold for the region, with drought and other extreme weather likely to become more common in central Asia.”

The stupidity is alarming. First they claim than natural variation in climate brought warm moist conditions to Mongolia and in fact brought perfect growing conditions … and their conclusion is to worry about drought and extreme weather.

What a waste of grant money.

Extreme Weather Alert: Canada February 1936

The AGW cult likes to talk about “extreme weather” as if that is a new thing and all was nice and calm in the past before that evil CO2 came along. What a load of bull.

Inspired by my own post about 1930 temperatures  in Canada and Steven Goddards post about “extreme weather” in Montana in 1936,  I thought I should take a quick look at 1936.

Imagine you are in the middle of the worst 10 year heatwave ever in North America — the dust bowl — and along comes February 1936. The data in the graph below are monthly averages based on the 1971-2000 normals Canada uses.

The black dot in the top left hand corner is about 5C of difference above or below the normal for that month.

Of the 184 stations, 3 were above 0. 81 were more than -10C colder than normal. Animated gif of whole year at bottom. Click for bigger.

EC MonthlyNormalsTemperature1936-02

MonthlyNormals_1936

Stations More Than -15C below normal

Prov Stn_Name Anomaly
ALTA SION -21.5
ALTA MEDICINE HAT A -20.4
ALTA VIKING -19.6
ALTA FORT MACLEOD -19.4
ALTA BEAVER MINES -19.4
ALTA GLEICHEN -19.3
ALTA LETHBRIDGE CDA -19.3
ALTA CALMAR -19
ALTA CARDSTON -18.9
SASK BEECHY -18.9
SASK PENNANT -18.7
ALTA CALGARY INT’L A -18.4
ALTA HIGH RIVER -18.2
SASK ANEROID -18.2
SASK GRAVELBOURG -18.2
ALTA MANYBERRIES CDA -18
BC FORT ST JAMES -17.8
ALTA OLDS -17.8
ALTA PEKISKO -17.7
ALTA BROOKS AHRC -17.5
SASK TUGASKE -17.4
SASK SCOTT CDA -17.4
SASK YELLOW GRASS -17.3
ALTA BEAVERLODGE CDA -17.2
SASK CHAPLIN -17.2
BC ATLIN -17.1
MAN PIERSON -17.1
ALTA LACOMBE CDA -17
SASK REGINA A -16.9
SASK WASECA -16.9
YT MAYO A -16.7
ALTA CAMPSIE -16.7
BC BALDONNEL -16.6
ALTA FAIRVIEW -16.6
SASK HARRIS -16.6
ALTA RANFURLY -16.5
SASK MIDALE -16.5
SASK KLINTONEL -16.5
ALTA ENTRANCE -16.4
ALTA CALDWELL -16.2
ALTA ELK POINT -16
SASK NOKOMIS -16
SASK SASKATOON A -16
SASK BIGGAR -15.7
SASK DAVIDSON -15.5
SASK LUMSDEN -15.5
MAN DELORAINE -15.5
SASK MUENSTER -15.4
SASK INDIAN HEAD CDA -15.3
SASK REGINA CDA -15.2
SASK PILGER -15