NOAA USA – Why is February Such A Key Month?

From 1895 to 1998 the Contiguous USA warmed at a very small rate of .78F per century. The NOAA graph is here.

The interesting thing is that 34% of the warming occurred in the month of February.  January even had a slight cooling trend.

From 1998 to 2013,  the USA cooled at a rate of -3.33F per century. February was responsible for 66% of the cooling.

Any ideas? Is it an NOAA artifact or something else? It seems strange that CO2 would prefer February for 100 years and then forsake it. 🙂

Graphs for each month/period below. (The percentages do not add up properly because some months were going in opposite direction of overall trend, but they give an idea of the magnitude)

Click for bigger.

NOAA USA Contiguous 48 States 1895 to 1998 - Trend 0.78F per Century

NOAA USA Contiguous 48 States 1998 to 2013 - Trend -3.33F per Century

70 Novembers Were Warmer Than November 2013 in the USA Lower 48

According to the NOAA November 2013 was 49th warmest out of 119.  The following 70 Novembers were warmer:

1899,1900,1901,1902,1904,1905,1908,1909,1912,1913,1914,1915,1917,1921,1922,1923,1924,1927,1928

and 1931,1933,1934,1939,1941,1942,1944,1945,1946,1948,1949,1953,1954,1958,1960,1962,1963,1964,1965,1966,1967,1969

and 1971,1973,1974,1975,1977,1980,1981,1983,1984,1987,1988,1989,1990,1994,1995,1998,1999,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012

Only 4 states were “Above Normal”. Tennessee, for example, was over 3F below the 1901-2000 average and was 15th warmest out of 119.

NOAA_NOV_2013_Map

USCRN TMax/Tmin/Tmean October 2013 – Russia is Warming at 225F / Century?

The USCRN is the US Climate Research Network. I had not looked at the data in a little while. So I was confused by the state code of SA.

Well, it turned out that the NOAA has added a station in Tiksi, Russia. Which has been warming (Tmax) at 225F/century over the last 3 Octobers.

The USCRN has no stations in Connecticut or Delaware or New Jersey, but it now has one in Russia.  Bizarre.

Anyway, the data is not that old, but here is the USCRN Tmax, Tmean and Tmin trends for October for most of the states in the USA and Tiksi.

Click for bigger.

Tmax
USCRN Max October data up to 201311

Tmean
USCRN Mean October data up to 201311

Tmin
USCRN Min October data up to 201311

83,000 Raptor Fatalities at Wind Farms in USA in 2012

This is just awful. The Wildlife Society estimates 83,000 raptor fatalities at wind farms in the USA for 2012.

“I used national averages from hundreds of carcass placement trials intended to characterize scavenger removal and searcher detection rates, and I relied on patterns of carcass distance from wind turbines to develop an adjustment for variation in maximum search radius around wind turbines mounted on various tower heights. Adjusted fatality rates correlated inversely with wind-turbine size for all raptors as a group across the United States, and for all birds as a group within the Altamont Pass Wind Resource Area, California. I estimated 888,000 bat and 573,000 bird fatalities/year (including 83,000 raptor fatalities) at 51,630 megawatt (MW) of installed wind-energy capacity in the United States in 2012.”

 

NOAA Winter Temperatures By State From 1998 to 2013

I’ve had a request to show Winter (Dec/Jan/Feb) temperatures by state. I am showing from 1998.  That would be to Dec 2012 / Jan+Feb 2013.

Only two states have a warming trend. Maine and Vermont. South Dakota is cooling at -41F/Century. The full list is below the graph.

Click for bigger.

NOAA Winter 1998 to 2013

State Trend in F/Decade
South Dakota -41.7
North Dakota -38.2
Minnesota -36.9
Nebraska -36.1
Iowa -33.2
Utah -32.7
Wisconsin -27.4
Kansas -24.2
Colorado -23.7
Wyoming -22.9
Illinois -21.5
Montana -21.5
Indiana -20.1
Ohio -19.4
Kentucky -18.3
Missouri -17.9
West Virginia -17.8
Nevada -17.1
Pennsylvania -17
New Mexico -15.9
Michigan -15.2
Rhode Island -15.1
Arizona -14.7
Idaho -14.3
Oklahoma -13.8
Oregon -12.3
Texas -12
Arkansas -11.8
Washington -11.3
Tennessee -11.2
Maryland -9.8
Massachusetts -9.2
North Carolina -7.9
Alabama -7.6
New York -6.9
New Jersey -6.7
Louisiana -5.4
Mississippi -5.3
Delaware -5.1
Virginia -5.1
Georgia -4
Florida -3.4
South Carolina -2
California -1.7
Connecticut -1.3
New Hampshire -1.3
Vermont 3.4
Maine 7.4

NOAA/USA – How Far Can You Go Back And Get a Negative Trend For January

Over the last few days I have presented data for Arizona, Washington and Utah showing massive cooling trends in January for the last 15 years.  I did something similar for HADCET last month.

So I thought I would do the same “How Far Can You Go Back” for the lower 48 states for January.  I was somewhat surprised. 20 states have a negative trend from 1895 (the beginning of the NOAA data).

Alabama in January (for example) is cooling at -1.9F/Century since 1895. You can check NOAA’s data here if you like. I did, just to make sure.

The top 6 cooling trends:

From 1983 North Dakota -6.919 F/Century
From 1994 Wyoming -4.992
From 1992 Colorado -4.862
From 1990 Nevada -4.704
From 1983 South Dakota -4.613
From 1986 Kansas -3.344

Click to make the graph bigger:

NOAA - How Far Can You Go Back - January as of 2013

And the distribution:

HIST NOAA - How Far Can You Go Back - January as of 2013