40 Years of Rising CO2 … 1940 to 1979. Officially CO2 measurements only started in the 50s, but I think one can extrapolate backwards.
CO2 didn’t have much effect. The Temperature trend over those 40 years was -0.026C per decade. About -0.1C for the 40 years.
Lets take a look at the same graph without the CO2 part.
The NOAA says September 2013 was the 6th warmest September in the USA.
2013 was behind 1998, 1931, 1933 , 2005 , 1990 and just edged out 1939 and 1922.
“We saw similar headlines last year and instead winter 12/13 ended up being only the 43rd coldest on record with an average temperature of 3.3C and flooding until the turn of the year.”
Technically correct, but HADCET March 2013 was the 11th coldest March since 1659.
December 2013 was 3.3C colder than the warmest December. January 2013 was 4C colder than the warmest January . And February 2013 was 4.7C colder than the warmest February.
No sign of global warming in HADCET for the winter months.
“While we have seen a return to more normal, cooler temperatures for this time of year, this is no indication of what we can expect over the next four months with regards to temperatures ”
http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2013/10/12/winter-forecasting-responding-to-the-headlines/
Lets look at the last 15 years of HADCET for each month. What would you predict?
“Each of the last three decades has been successively warmer at the Earth’s surface than any preceding decade since 1850”
My Response (using HADCRUT4 data)
Decade Mean Anomaly C
1850 -0.32
1860 -0.33
1870 -0.26
1880 -0.30
1890 -0.36
1900 -0.41
1910 -0.39
1920 -0.25
1930 -0.12
1940 0.00
1950 -0.06
1960 -0.05
1970 -0.08
Each of the 4 decades after the 1870s were successively COLDER at the Earth’s surface than any preceding decade since 1850
Why did it take until the 1920s to get as warm as the 1870s?
Each of the 3 decades after the 1900s were successively warmer at the Earth’s surface than any preceding decade since 1850
But the next 3 decades after the 1940s were COLDER than the 1940s.
Why?
Explain your work.
From the leaked AR5 Summary:
“The observed reduction in warming trend over the period 1998–2012 as compared to the period 1951–1 2012, is due in roughly equal measure to a cooling contribution from internal variability and a reduced trend in radiative forcing (medium confidence). The reduced trend in radiative forcing is primarily due to volcanic eruptions and the downward phase of the current solar cycle. However, there is low confidence in quantifying the role of changes in radiative forcing in causing this reduced warming trend. {Box 9.2; 10.3.1; Box 10.2}”
Translation: It was the sun. Or super secret volcanoes. Or something.
From the leaked AR5 Summary:
“There is robust evidence that the downward trend in Arctic summer sea ice extent since 1979 is now better simulated than at the time of the AR4, with about one-quarter of the models showing a trend as large as, or larger than, the trend in the observations. Most models simulate a small decreasing trend in Antarctic sea ice extent, albeit with large inter-model spread, in contrast to the small increasing trend in 30 observations. {9.4.3}”
“one-quarter of the models showing a trend as large as, or larger than, the trend in the observations”
Translation: 75% of the models were wrong about Arctic Sea Ice. But we’ll claim we got it right when we only got it right 25% of the time.
“Most models simulate a small decreasing trend in Antarctic sea ice extent
Translation: None of the models got Antarctic Sea Ice right.
What a joke.
The LA Times and other left-wing rags are bending over backwards to try and save the AGW cult from total humiliation. With AR5 coming and newspapers coming out with stories about the “pause” that the lefty papers ignored for 15 years, they are panicking.
For example:
“Bill Patzert of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in La Cañada Flintridge, say sea level rise is “unequivocal proof” that greenhouse gases are continuing to heat the planet, and that much of this added heat is being absorbed by the oceans.”
“But there’s been no slowdown whatsoever in sea level rise, so global warming is alive and well.”
Poor old Bill seems to be dumber than a post because he conveniently “forgets” about 2010 and 2011.
Lets go back a whole month! Another left-wing rag (the Guardian) tries to explain why sea level dropped in 2010/2011.
“Rain – in effect, evaporated ocean – fell in such colossal quantities during the Australian floods in 2010 and 2011 that the world’s sea levels actually dropped by as much as 7mm.”
Poor old Bill seems to have forgotten that sea level dropped for 2 years.
And the real joke is that if too much rain over Australia caused sea level to fall despite the massive increase in anthropogenic CO2, why couldn’t too little rain in Australia have caused a sea level rise?
Instead of doing science, the AGW Cult specializes in making up stupid excuses why their predictions are not coming true!
It’s too bad NASA and JPL have now beclowned themselves again trying to support a dying cult.
Electricity is now a luxury good in Germany thanks to evil greenies.
“more than 300,000 households a year are seeing their power shut off because of unpaid bills.”
“renewable energy subsidies redistribute money from the poor to the more affluent, like when someone living in small rental apartment subsidizes a homeowner’s roof-mounted solar panels through his electricity bill.”
“Experts believe that because of the more challenging conditions, the power offshore wind turbines generate will be consistently two to three times as expensive as on land.”
“If the government sticks to its plans, the price of electricity will literally explode in the coming years. According to a current study for the federal government, electricity will cost up to 40 cents a kilowatt-hour by 2020, a 40-percent increase over today’s prices.”
(h/t P Gosselin)
If some evil mastermind had planned to bring down the western economies so that China could grow wealthy, the greenie master plan combined with the evil IPCC could not have done a better job.
“Many scientists have blamed global warming for more intense recent hurricane seasons and for the more destructive storms that are predicted in years to come, but a new study says climate change could eventually help safeguard the U.S. Atlantic Coast from hurricanes.
Climate change might alter atmospheric conditions so that future hurricanes may be pushed away from the East Coast, according to a study published Monday by the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science.
The warming caused by greenhouse gases—thought to be the result of human activities such as burning fossil fuels—could redirect atmospheric winds that steer hurricanes.
By the next century, the study’s authors report, atmospheric winds over the Atlantic could blow more directly from west to east during hurricane season, pushing storms away from the United States.”
As the AGW Theory fails, more and more stories like this will occur. “Deniers” have known for years Hurricane Activity is low. But the “zero Atlantic Hurricanes in August” has freaked out the slightly less dishonest journalists and “scientists”.
They will claim Global Warming is still real and can still change the climate, but it will now be a force for good. So keep the grant money coming.
Climate Scientists are like stereotypical movie white men who pretend to be Witch Doctors and know that 10 days from now there will be a lunar eclipse and con the whole tribe into paying tribute so the Witch Doctor will save them!
I did find all the comments from the usual group of cult members trying to hold onto the Climate Change con quite funny. Evil and funny. But still funny.
I laughed out loud reading this story on zero Atlantic Hurricanes in August.
““The very inactive season so far has been a bit of a head-scratcher,” Crawford said in an e-mail interview. Air temperatures from the Caribbean to Africa have been warmer than normal this year, reducing the instability in the atmosphere that drives storm development, he said.”
Isn’t that funny. The excuse for why there are no hurricanes is because warmth reduces instability!
Wasn’t global warming supposed to produce more hurricanes? Do they lack self awareness? Or do they totally lack shame?
Why just 5 days ago Popular Science did a story on why Hurricanes should be named after Deniers. I won’t link to them … they are idiots.
But they said: ”
” A new petition argues that we should name storms after the people whose climate change-denying positions are exacerbating the problem. Look out for Hurricane Michele Bachmann.”
Scientists can’t pin down any specific storm to climate change, but on the whole, storms are getting worse because of (human-caused) climate change.”
But now, just 5 days later (after zero Atlantic Hurricanes in August), if you google “global warming hurricanes” there are suddenly a bunch of stories like:
“Many scientists have blamed global warming for more intense recent hurricane seasons and for the more destructive storms that are predicted in years to come, but a new study says climate change could eventually help safeguard the U.S. Atlantic Coast from hurricanes.”
They should be ashamed to call themselves “scientists”. Snake Oil Salesman is more like it. (Look it up).
I almost wish for a record number of Hurricanes in September just to watch them all get whiplash. But I don’t really want more hurricanes.
sunshine hours 