BEST versus NOAA – Washington State – Cooling the Past Again

Published on by sunshinehours11 Comment

In our continuing adventure comparing the last data from Berkley Earth Surface Temperature project (BEST) today we are looking at Washington State.

NOAA/NCDC data suggests the last 5 years have cooled off considerably in Washington State. But even more interesting is that the 10 year period from the late 1800s to around 1907 was in fact warmer than the last 5 years.

Here is the NOAA Washington Data. The boxes are 5 year averages. Blue is below the 1951-80 average. Red text indicates warmer. As you can, the average for the last 5 years is .16C while the late 1800s early 1900s have anomalies of .44C and .47C. It ruins the AGW narrative for it to be so warm so far in the past.

Here is the same period using the BEST data. As you can see the same 1800s/1900s period is now -.2C and -.19C below the 51-80 average and much colder than the recent period.

How did they do that? BEST adjusted way down all the data before 1926 or so thereby artificially cooling the warm past. The following graph is the BEST anomaly minus the NOAA anomaly. They didn’t do much to the post 1930 data. Clearly they did not want anyone thinking it could be warm in the past.

USCRN TMAX off a cliff – as of July 2012

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Anthony Watt from WUWT mentioned the USCRN in a recent post.

The USCRN is a new ‘state of the art’ United States Climate Reference Network.

So, I thought I would take a look at the monthly TMAX data (T_MONTHLY_MAX). I downloaded all the monthly files.

If there was enough data: I calculated an anomaly for each month for each station based on 2005 to 2009 mean. Yes, thats a short period, but the USCRN hasn’t been around long. I graphed the data. And I calculated the Trend for data from 2007 on.

Here is the trend for each station (with enough data) sorted by highest trend to lowest.  There are a few graphs at the bottom.

The mean of the trends was -2.34F / Decade

State Station Start yyyymm End yyyymm Trend
31 CA Redding_12_WNW 200701 201207 4.31
29 CA Fallbrook_5_NE 200804 201207 3.41
33 CA Stovepipe_Wells_1_SW 200701 201207 2.46
30 CA Merced_23_WSW 200701 201207 2.15
34 CA Yosemite_Village_12_W 200709 201207 1.96
104 OR Corvallis_10_SSW 200701 201207 1.74
75 MT St._Mary_1_SSW 200701 201207 1.61
48 HI Hilo_5_S 200701 201207 1.55
AK Barrow_4_ENE 200701 201207 1.53
52 ID Murphy_10_W 200701 201207 1.50
95 NV Mercury_3_SSW 200701 201207 1.46
32 CA Santa_Barbara_11_W 200808 201207 1.39
135 WY Moose_1_NNE 200701 201207 1.37
51 ID Arco_17_SW 200701 201207 1.28
106 OR Riley_10_WSW 200701 201207 1.13
3 AK St._Paul_4_NE 200701 201207 1.13
129 WA Darrington_21_NNE 200701 201207 1.11
105 OR John_Day_35_WNW 200701 201207 0.90
130 WA Quinault_4_NE 200701 201207 0.81
103 OR Coos_Bay_8_SW 200808 201207 0.49
94 NV Denio_52_WSW 200806 201207 0.44
27 AZ Yuma_27_ENE 200803 201207 0.41
49 HI Mauna_Loa_5_NNE 200701 201207 0.39
93 NV Baker_5_W 200701 201207 0.21
28 CA Bodega_6_WSW 200806 201207 -0.13
76 MT Wolf_Point_29_ENE 200701 201207 -0.15
1 AK Fairbanks_11_NE 200701 201207 -0.28
131 WA Spokane_17_SSW 200708 201207 -0.38
17 AL Selma_6_SSE 200703 201207 -0.41
25 AZ Tucson_11_W 200701 201207 -0.42
117 TX Austin_33_NW 200802 201207 -0.46
22 AL Valley_Head_1_SSW 200701 201207 -0.51
26 AZ Williams_35_NNW 200806 201207 -0.52
83 ND Northgate_5_ESE 200701 201207 -0.62
77 MT Wolf_Point_34_NE 200701 201207 -0.76
8 AL Fairhope_3_NE 200701 201207 -0.76
12 AL Guntersville_2_SW 200701 201207 -0.76
134 WY Lander_11_SSE 200701 201207 -0.79
10 AL Gainesville_2_NE 200703 201207 -0.82
9 AL Gadsden_19_N 200701 201207 -0.83
5 AL Clanton_2_NE 200703 201207 -0.85
7 AL Cullman_3_ENE 200701 201207 -0.86
6 AL Courtland_2_WSW 200701 201207 -0.90
2 AK Sitka_1_NE 200701 201207 -0.92
16 AL Scottsboro_2_NE 200701 201207 -0.94
41 FL Everglades_City_5_NE 200702 201207 -0.95
14 AL Muscle_Shoals_2_N 200704 201207 -1.03
79 NC Asheville_13_S 200701 201207 -1.03
46 GA Newton_11_SW 200701 201207 -1.03
37 CO Dinosaur_2_E 200701 201207 -1.13
124 TX Port_Aransas_32_NNE 200711 201207 -1.14
15 AL Russellville_4_SSE 200701 201207 -1.15
126 UT Torrey_7_E 200710 201207 -1.21
44 GA Brunswick_23_S 200701 201207 -1.23
43 FL Titusville_7_E 200701 201207 -1.27
80 NC Durham_11_W 200703 201207 -1.34
116 TN Crossville_7_NW 200701 201207 -1.37
35 CO Boulder_14_W 200701 201207 -1.43
111 SC McClellanville_7_NE 200701 201207 -1.43
82 ND Medora_7_E 200701 201207 -1.47
36 CO Cortez_8_SE 200701 201207 -1.55
45 GA Newton_8_W 200701 201207 -1.55
72 MS Newton_5_ENE 200701 201207 -1.58
114 SD Pierre_24_S 200701 201207 -1.59
78 NC Asheville_8_SSW 200701 201207 -1.76
42 FL Sebring_23_SSE 200712 201207 -1.85
110 SC Blackville_3_W 200701 201207 -1.85
18 AL Selma_13_WNW 200701 201207 -1.89
11 AL Greensboro_2_WNW 200703 201207 -1.96
92 NM Socorro_20_N 200701 201207 -1.98
91 NM Los_Alamos_13_W 200701 201207 -2.02
113 SD Buffalo_13_ESE 200701 201207 -2.05
128 VA Charlottesville_2_SSE 200703 201207 -2.05
60 LA Lafayette_13_SE 200701 201207 -2.06
39 CO Montrose_11_ENE 200701 201207 -2.09
58 KY Bowling_Green_21_NNE 200701 201207 -2.13
47 GA Watkinsville_5_SSE 200701 201207 -2.32
127 VA Cape_Charles_5_ENE 200701 201207 -2.33
24 AZ Elgin_5_S 200701 201207 -2.46
59 KY Versailles_3_NNW 200701 201207 -2.55
107 PA Avondale_2_N 200701 201207 -2.57
90 NM Las_Cruces_20_N 200702 201207 -2.62
84 NE Harrison_20_SSE 200701 201207 -3
21 AL Troy_2_W 200801 201207 -3.04
119 TX Edinburg_17_NNE 200701 201207 -3.09
4 AL Brewton_3_NNE 200801 201207 -3.13
108 RI Kingston_1_NW 200701 201207 -3.15
109 RI Kingston_1_W 200701 201207 -3.23
125 UT Brigham_City_28_WNW 200708 201207 -3.28
63 ME Old_Town_2_W 200701 201207 -3.32
96 NY Ithaca_13_E 200701 201207 -3.42
20 AL Thomasville_2_S 200801 201207 -3.56
61 LA Monroe_26_N 200701 201207 -3.77
62 ME Limestone_4_NNW 200701 201207 -3.77
88 NH Durham_2_N 200701 201207 -3.79
102 ON Egbert_1_W 200701 201207 -3.83
133 WV Elkins_21_ENE 200701 201207 -3.87
98 OH Coshocton_8_NNE 200701 201207 -3.91
97 NY Millbrook_3_W 200701 201207 -4.10
123 TX Panther_Junction_2_N 200702 201207 -4.10
121 TX Muleshoe_19_S 200701 201207 -4.12
89 NH Durham_2_SSW 200701 201207 -4.18
40 CO Nunn_7_NNE 200701 201207 -4.21
87 NE Whitman_5_ENE 200701 201207 -4.28
122 TX Palestine_6_WNW 200701 201207 -4.38
64 MI Chatham_1_SE 200701 201207 -4.42
112 SD Aberdeen_35_WNW 200706 201207 -4.55
74 MT Lewistown_42_WSW 200807 201207 -4.61
23 AR Batesville_8_WNW 200701 201207 -4.83
132 WI Necedah_5_WNW 200701 201207 -4.83
68 MO Chillicothe_22_ENE 200701 201207 -4.88
120 TX Monahans_6_ENE 200701 201207 -4.99
85 NE Lincoln_8_ENE 200701 201207 -4.99
73 MT Dillon_18_WSW 200707 201207 -5.05
86 NE Lincoln_11_SW 200701 201207 -5.06
54 IL Shabbona_5_NNE 200701 201207 -5.24
53 IL Champaign_9_SW 200701 201207 -5.36
99 OK Goodwell_2_E 200701 201207 -5.41
38 CO La_Junta_17_WSW 200701 201207 -5.53
70 MO Salem_10_W 200705 201207 -5.85
115 SD Sioux_Falls_14_NNE 200701 201207 -6.13
100 OK Stillwater_2_W 200701 201207 -6.16
66 MN Goodridge_12_NNW 200701 201207 -6.18
136 WY Sundance_8_NNW 200708 201207 -6.31
13 AL Highland_Home_2_S 200812 201207 -6.34
50 IA Des_Moines_17_E 200701 201207 -6.36
69 MO Joplin_24_N 200705 201207 -6.44
57 KS Oakley_19_SSW 200701 201207 -6.51
101 OK Stillwater_5_WNW 200701 201207 -6.53
56 KS Manhattan_6_SSW 200701 201207 -6.58
118 TX Bronte_11_NNE 200701 201207 -6.74
71 MS Holly_Springs_4_N 200802 201207 -6.79
65 MI Gaylord_9_SSW 200709 201207 -6.84
55 IN Bedford_5_WNW 200710 201207 -7.28
19 AL Talladega_10_NNE 200812 201207 -7.68
67 MN Sandstone_6_W 200706 201207 -7.88
81 ND Jamestown_38_WSW 200807 201207 -12.68

Graphs:

 

 

NOAA July 2012 – Current Temperature minus Record Temperature for last 12 months

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Current Temperature minus Record Temperature for last 12 months.
For example, the Alabama July 2012 temperature -1.8F colder than the Alabama record for July, and it occurred 82 years ago. 82 / -1.8.

Aug – Dec temperatures are for 2011.

State Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Alabama 62 / -10.4 85 / -6.9 105 / -0.2 45 / -3.3 79 / -3 98 / -5.9 82 / -1.8 4 / -2.8 86 / -10.8 92 / -13.6 26 / -6 78 / -7.2
Arizona 9 / -4.4 17 / -5.4 8 / -6.7 23 / -3.9 12 / -2.6 116 / -4.2 9 / -3.8 0 / 0 112 / -2.8 8 / -5 16 / -5.9 115 / -9.4
Arkansas 105 / -4.3 36 / -5.5 0 / 0 116 / -2.7 50 / -0.9 59 / -5.3 58 / -1.3 57 / -1.8 86 / -9.6 48 / -8.2 102 / -5.3 27 / -7.3
California 26 / -3.1 49 / -5 78 / -7.6 86 / -4.1 11 / -3.9 116 / -6.4 113 / -4.9 44 / -1.8 2 / -0.1 8 / -3.3 16 / -7.2 61 / -5.8
Colorado 9 / -2.8 58 / -9.6 8 / -0.2 66 / -0.5 78 / -3.5 0 / 0 9 / -1.6 0 / 0 13 / -3.3 48 / -6.2 62 / -6.1 31 / -11
Connecticut 80 / -4.9 14 / -0.6 0 / 0 91 / -2.4 21 / -1.8 87 / -3.8 99 / -2.2 98 / -3.4 50 / -1 98 / -6.2 5 / -0.5 10 / -0.6
Delaware 62 / -6 36 / -1.2 91 / -1.6 1 / -3.6 8 / -2.3 2 / -4.4 1 / -0.5 111 / -2.6 81 / -1.9 4 / -6.6 26 / -2.1 27 / -0.6
Florida 75 / -9.6 80 / -4 105 / -0.5 104 / -4.4 107 / -1.2 14 / -4.6 14 / -1.3 1 / 0 86 / -2.6 92 / -7.9 25 / -6 80 / -6.2
Georgia 62 / -9.3 85 / -6.5 0 / 0 10 / -2.4 116 / -2.9 60 / -7 26 / -1.4 4 / -1 86 / -9.7 92 / -13 26 / -7.2 80 / -5.8
Idaho 59 / -6.4 78 / -7.5 78 / -5.2 78 / -4.2 115 / -7.1 94 / -6.1 5 / -3.1 8 / -2.2 21 / -1.7 23 / -5.7 12 / -8.1 94 / -10.1
Illinois 6 / -6.3 14 / -5 0 / 0 2 / -4.2 50 / -1.7 78 / -6 76 / -1.4 64 / -6.5 86 / -9.1 48 / -9.2 80 / -4.1 88 / -4
Indiana 6 / -7.1 58 / -4.9 0 / 0 116 / -4.7 116 / -0.9 78 / -5.4 76 / -0.7 64 / -6.3 86 / -8.3 64 / -7.9 80 / -3 88 / -4.1
Iowa 6 / -6.4 58 / -7.3 0 / 0 97 / -3.5 78 / -3.9 79 / -5.6 76 / -3.3 64 / -7.8 80 / -9.6 48 / -8.8 10 / -8.7 80 / -3.7
Kansas 6 / -5.7 82 / -9.2 0 / 0 31 / -2.3 50 / -2.4 60 / -3.8 78 / -2.4 75 / -4.1 80 / -10.5 48 / -8.7 12 / -6.9 54 / -6.2
Kentucky 62 / -6.7 80 / -5.8 0 / 0 116 / -5.5 116 / -2.3 60 / -6 111 / -0.5 4 / -5.2 86 / -9.7 92 / -9.3 80 / -3.9 88 / -4.9
Louisiana 62 / -7 80 / -6.2 105 / -1.1 45 / -2.1 79 / -0.9 1 / -3.5 14 / -3.4 0 / 0 100 / -5.3 92 / -9.3 84 / -4.4 78 / -9
Maine 99 / -6.5 31 / -5.9 66 / -1.3 2 / -2.5 101 / -3.7 82 / -5.6 60 / -3.4 74 / -4.8 50 / -3 98 / -9.9 80 / -0.4 111 / -2.9
Maryland 62 / -7.5 36 / -1.8 91 / -0.5 18 / -4.2 8 / -1.7 69 / -4.5 57 / -0.2 111 / -3.9 81 / -3.3 4 / -6.9 26 / -1.9 27 / -2
Massachusetts 99 / -5.6 14 / -0.8 66 / -0.3 67 / -2 68 / -1.9 82 / -4.4 57 / -1.1 74 / -3.6 50 / -2.1 64 / -5.1 85 / -0.8 5 / -1.7
Michigan 6 / -5 14 / -4.2 0 / 0 97 / -5.8 116 / -4 93 / -4.5 91 / -2.8 64 / -5.2 103 / -6.4 111 / -7.2 10 / -3.8 88 / -3.5
Minnesota 6 / -5.9 14 / -7 0 / 0 97 / -5.5 35 / -5.7 79 / -5.3 76 / -1.8 111 / -5.1 114 / -6.2 48 / -6.2 10 / -7.7 72 / -2.1
Mississippi 62 / -8.2 80 / -7.3 0 / 0 116 / -3.3 116 / -2.7 98 / -5 82 / -2.4 87 / -1.5 86 / -10.3 92 / -11.6 84 / -4.7 78 / -8.4
Missouri 6 / -5.4 82 / -5.3 0 / 0 31 / -3 50 / -2.7 60 / -5.7 78 / -2.1 75 / -6 80 / -9.7 48 / -9.6 102 / -5.3 80 / -4.9
Montana 6 / -5.6 21 / -8.8 26 / -1.8 25 / -3.3 78 / -8.9 24 / -8.4 76 / -3.3 40 / -3.4 13 / -2.8 48 / -3.9 62 / -9.1 115 / -3.8
Nebraska 6 / -7 58 / -12 0 / 0 31 / -2.4 78 / -6.1 79 / -3.8 76 / -3.1 74 / -5.6 114 / -9.1 48 / -7.4 12 / -6.9 103 / -9.3
Nevada 9 / -6 17 / -8.4 78 / -7 78 / -3.9 11 / -3.7 94 / -4 81 / -4 77 / -1.6 2 / -0.6 23 / -4.7 62 / -8.1 94 / -8.4
New Hampshire 80 / -4.9 31 / -2.5 0 / 0 71 / -2.7 101 / -2.4 36 / -4.5 57 / -2.1 74 / -3.4 50 / -2.7 64 / -5.1 5 / -0.3 5 / -1.9
New Jersey 80 / -6.9 14 / -1.1 0 / 0 2 / -3.2 21 / -1.2 2 / -4.5 57 / -1.5 6 / -3.1 50 / -2.3 4 / -6.1 5 / -0.6 5 / -1.5
New Mexico 103 / -3.3 55 / -7.5 102 / -2.7 10 / -1.1 16 / -3.6 22 / -0.8 9 / -2.4 0 / 0 1 / -2.1 61 / -5.5 84 / -4.2 31 / -9.4
New York 80 / -6.8 28 / -0.8 0 / 0 91 / -6.2 101 / -1 63 / -4.7 91 / -2.2 56 / -3.9 50 / -3.4 64 / -6.1 80 / -0.9 5 / -2.8
North Carolina 62 / -8.7 85 / -5.9 67 / -0.7 10 / -3.9 116 / -2.7 60 / -6.5 19 / -0.6 111 / -2.8 90 / -5.2 92 / -10.5 26 / -6.8 55 / -4.1
North Dakota 6 / -6.3 58 / -9.1 102 / -0.5 25 / -4.5 35 / -8.2 24 / -9 76 / -5.9 28 / -5.2 114 / -4.8 48 / -6.6 10 / -6.8 72 / -2.7
Ohio 80 / -7 14 / -4.2 0 / 0 116 / -5.4 21 / -0.9 78 / -5.3 78 / -0.7 64 / -4.6 80 / -5 64 / -7.6 80 / -2.3 88 / -3
Oklahoma 6 / -3.8 58 / -7.6 0 / 0 6 / -1.4 116 / -2.4 59 / -6 1 / -3.8 0 / 0 80 / -8.6 48 / -8.1 12 / -6.3 46 / -5.4
Oregon 59 / -5 49 / -6.5 78 / -8 78 / -4.9 20 / -6 94 / -7.8 106 / -3.6 44 / -2.3 0 / 0 23 / -5.8 12 / -6 78 / -7.3
Pennsylvania 80 / -9.3 14 / -2.5 0 / 0 91 / -6.3 68 / -1.1 69 / -5.3 57 / -1.1 111 / -4.5 80 / -3.3 64 / -7.3 80 / -3.2 88 / -3.2
Rhode Island 80 / -5.8 28 / -2.1 0 / 0 2 / -1.7 2 / -0.6 2 / -5.4 2 / -2.6 6 / -2.3 50 / -0.6 64 / -4 36 / -1.3 83 / -4.1
South Carolina 38 / -8.8 85 / -6.6 67 / 0 10 / -3.1 116 / -3.9 60 / -7.2 19 / -1.5 4 / -2.4 86 / -7.5 92 / -12.7 26 / -7.6 55 / -4.7
South Dakota 6 / -7 58 / -11 0 / 0 117 / -2 78 / -9.8 79 / -5.2 76 / -5 74 / -6.1 114 / -7.7 48 / -6.3 12 / -7.9 72 / -3.5
Tennessee 62 / -7.4 85 / -5.9 0 / 0 116 / -3.7 50 / -2.7 60 / -6.8 82 / -0.8 4 / -5 86 / -11.1 92 / -10.9 26 / -4.8 80 / -6.2
Texas 89 / -5.3 12 / -6.2 105 / -3.2 45 / -0.7 16 / -3.2 1 / -2.6 1 / -3.5 0 / 0 100 / -3.2 64 / -4.9 84 / -6.3 78 / -8.5
Utah 9 / -3.8 105 / -7.1 8 / -2.6 20 / -2.5 78 / -2.6 5 / -0.9 9 / -3.5 4 / -0.5 21 / -1 23 / -4.7 62 / -5.5 94 / -9.6
Vermont 80 / -7 31 / -4 66 / 0 67 / -4.3 37 / -2 63 / -4.7 91 / -2.9 74 / -4.1 50 / -3.6 64 / -5.3 102 / -3.9 5 / -3.2
Virginia 62 / -8.6 36 / -3.5 67 / -0.4 58 / -3.8 59 / -1.7 2 / -5.9 0 / 0 111 / -3.7 81 / -5 92 / -9.3 26 / -4.4 55 / -4.3
Washington 59 / -6.9 21 / -5.6 20 / -7.4 78 / -6 54 / -7 20 / -8.7 106 / -5.1 44 / -3.6 44 / -1.3 110 / -5.2 112 / -9.6 111 / -7.4
West Virginia 62 / -10.1 80 / -4.3 0 / 0 58 / -5.3 116 / -1.8 69 / -6.7 111 / -1.1 111 / -3.7 111 / -4.7 92 / -9.4 26 / -4.4 55 / -4.4
Wisconsin 6 / -7.2 14 / -5.7 0 / 0 97 / -6.3 35 / -3.8 79 / -4.9 91 / -0.7 64 / -5.9 80 / -7.2 48 / -7.5 10 / -6.6 88 / -3.2
Wyoming 59 / -4.2 58 / -9.5 0 / 0 69 / -0.5 78 / -6.1 24 / -3.7 5 / -0.2 8 / -1.2 13 / -2.8 48 / -4.9 62 / -9.9 115 / -10.6

Regional:

Region Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Northeast Region 80 / -7.1 14 / -1.4 0 / 0 91 / -4.3 101 / -1.1 69 / -3.5 57 / -1.4 74 / -3.4 50 / -2.9 64 / -5.7 80 / -1.2 5 / -2.2
East North CentralRegion 6 / -6.1 14 / -5.8 0 / 0 97 / -5.3 35 / -3.7 79 / -4.7 76 / -0.9 64 / -5.6 80 / -7 48 / -7.2 10 / -6.8 88 / -2.4
Central Region 6 / -5.6 82 / -4.2 0 / 0 116 / -4 50 / -1.5 60 / -5.2 78 / -0.6 75 / -4.6 86 / -8.4 64 / -7.9 80 / -3.8 88 / -3.9
Southeast Region 62 / -8.8 85 / -5.1 67 / -0.1 58 / -2.8 116 / -1.9 60 / -5.6 19 / -0.6 4 / -1.8 86 / -6.7 92 / -11.1 26 / -6 80 / -4.8
West North Central Region 6 / -5.5 58 / -9.6 102 / -0.2 25 / -1.6 78 / -7.9 24 / -5.8 76 / -3 28 / -3.6 13 / -4.4 48 / -5.5 12 / -8 72 / -4.9
South Region 89 / -3.8 82 / -5.9 105 / -0.6 6 / -1.1 116 / -1.5 59 / -3.6 1 / -2.5 0 / 0 100 / -5.4 64 / -6.2 102 / -4.9 78 / -7.4
Southwest Region 9 / -3.1 17 / -6.2 8 / -3 23 / -0.8 78 / -2 116 / -0.4 9 / -2.8 0 / 0 1 / -1.3 61 / -5 62 / -5.2 31 / -9.3
Northwest Region 59 / -5.9 49 / -5.8 78 / -6.8 78 / -5 54 / -6.3 94 / -6.9 5 / -3.2 44 / -2.3 21 / -0.7 23 / -5.4 112 / -7.3 94 / -7.8
West Region 9 / -4.2 49 / -5.9 78 / -7.3 78 / -3.5 11 / -3.8 116 / -4.2 81 / -3.8 53 / -1.4 2 / -0.3 8 / -3.6 16 / -7.4 61 / -6.7
USA Contiguous 48 States 6 / -3.22 58 / -3.92 0 / 0 6 / -0.67 78 / -1.05 79 / -1.02 0 / 0 28 / -0.06 13 / -3.04 48 / -4.32 12 / -4.21 72 / -2.81

NOAA – July 2012 – LA was cold!

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For Los Angeles: “The average temperature in July 2012 was 66.6 F. This was -2.4 F cooler than the 1944-2012 average, the 7th coolest July on record (1944-2012).”

2010 was the coldest July ever. 1959 was the warmest. 75.1F. 

Year

Temperature
(deg F)

Rank

(1944-2012)*

Rank

(1944-2012)*
2012 66.6 7 7
2011 68.3 21 21
2010 65.7 1 1
2009 68.4 23 23
2008 69.8 50 50
2007 69.9 51 51
2006 74.3 67 67
2005 68.6 28 28
2004 69.3 42 42
2003 71.5 63 63
2002 68.5 26 26
2001 67.8 16 16
2000 68.8 35 35
1999 70.4 56 56
1998 69.6 49 49
1997 69.4 44 44
1996 69.5 47 47
1995 68.2 19 19
1994 67.9 17 17
1993 69.5 47 47
1992 71.5 63 63
1991 67.0 9 9
1990 71.4 61 61
1989 69.4 44 44
1988 69.2 38 38
1987 66.3 6 6
1986 68.5 26 26
1985 71.4 61 61
1984 71.3 59 59
1983 69.6 49 49
1982 69.3 42 42
1981 71.7 64 64
1980 68.7 31 31
1979 68.4 23 23
1978 67.7 14 14
1977 68.6 28 28
1976 70.1 53 53
1975 68.9 36 36
1974 70.5 57 57
1973 68.0 18 18
1972 70.3 54 54
1971 69.5 47 47
1970 68.7 31 31
1969 69.1 37 37
1968 68.3 21 21
1967 69.3 42 42
1966 68.2 19 19
1965 65.7 1 1
1964 66.8 8 8
1963 68.7 31 31
1962 66.0 5 5
1961 71.2 58 58
1960 69.3 42 42
1959 75.1 68 68
1958 70.0 52 52
1957 72.3 66 66
1956 68.4 23 23
1955 67.2 10 10
1954 71.9 65 65
1953 70.4 56 56
1952 65.7 1 1
1951 68.6 28 28
1950 68.8 35 35
1949 67.3 12 12
1948 65.7 1 1
1947 67.7 14 14
1946 67.5 13 13
1945 67.2 10 10
1944 —- —- —-

NOAA – July 2012 – Hottest July Ever (by .13F) – But for only one state – Virginia

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Update: I missed Virgina first go round and said no state! My bad.

The big NOAA announcement today is that July 2012 was the hottest July ever. Out of 118 July’s, it is the hottest ever for the Continental USA. And it broke the record by .13F.

“What made this year different from the Dust Bowl summer of 1936 was nighttime temperatures, he said. In the Dust Bowl years, the warmth was largely driven by daytime highs. This July, the record heat was also pushed by warm nighttime temperatures — the overnight lows weren’t that low.”

Warmer nighttime temperatures scream Urban Heat Island to me.

Aside from that, July 2012 was only the hottest July for one state – Virginia. The Difference from Warmest July column is how much warmer the warmest July was than July 2012. For example. Alabama’s warmest July was 1.8F warmer.

California, for example, was ranked 55 out of 118. 4.9F colder than the warmest July.

Take a look at North Dakota. Ranked 117. 2nd warmest. 5.9F colder than the warmest (which was 1936)

State July Avg July Rank (out of 118) Difference from Warmest July
118 Alabama 81.70 106 1.80
236 Arizona 80.30 68 3.80
354 Arkansas 84.10 113 1.30
472 California 75.00 55 4.90
590 Colorado 71.20 114 1.60
708 Connecticut 74.40 110 2.20
826 Delaware 81.00 117 0.50
944 Florida 82.20 105 1.30
1062 Georgia 82.30 112 1.40
1180 Idaho 70.20 112 3.10
1298 Illinois 81.70 117 1.40
1416 Indiana 80.20 116 0.70
1534 Iowa 79.40 116 3.30
1652 Kansas 84.30 112 2.40
1770 Kentucky 80.70 117 0.50
1888 Louisiana 82.10 64 3.40
2006 Maine 68.00 96 3.40
2124 Maryland 79.00 116 0.20
2242 Massachusetts 73.20 111 1.10
2360 Michigan 73.30 115 2.80
2478 Minnesota 74.40 116 1.80
2596 Mississippi 81.80 89 2.40
2714 Missouri 83.70 113 2.10
2832 Montana 71.40 115 3.30
2950 Nebraska 80.00 114 3.10
3068 Nevada 73.60 94 4.00
3186 New Hampshire 69.60 98 2.10
3304 New Jersey 77.50 113 1.50
3422 New Mexico 74.60 98 2.40
3540 New York 71.70 112 2.20
3658 North Carolina 80.50 117 0.60
3776 North Dakota 73.80 117 5.90
3894 Ohio 77.60 116 0.70
4012 Oklahoma 85.50 110 3.80
4130 Oregon 67.40 85 3.60
4248 Pennsylvania 74.50 114 1.10
4366 Rhode Island 73.10 108 2.60
4484 South Carolina 82.70 116 1.50
4602 South Dakota 78.80 117 5.00
4720 Tennessee 80.40 112 0.80
4838 Texas 83.40 89 3.50
4956 Utah 74.20 102 3.50
5074 Vermont 69.50 101 2.90
5192 Virginia 79.00 118 0.00
5310 Washington 66.60 78 5.10
5428 West Virginia 75.50 114 1.10
5546 Wisconsin 74.70 115 0.70
5664 Wyoming 71.50 117 0.20

Regions:

Region July Avg July Ranked Difference from Warmest July
5782 Northeast Region 72.40 112 1.40
5900 East North Central Region 75.30 115 0.90
6018 Central Region 80.60 115 0.60
6136 Southeast Region 81.40 116 0.60
6254 West North Central Region 74.40 117 3.00
6372 South Region 83.60 109 2.50
6490 Southwest Region 75.20 104 2.80
6608 Northwest Region 68.10 99 3.20
6726 West Region 74.40 68 3.80
6844 USA Contiguous 48 States 77.56 118 0.00

NOAA July 2012 – Warmest 12 Months

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According to NOAA/NCDC , last month 20 states had their warmest 12 months starting in 2011. (I still have reservations about NCDC’s adjustments)

This month it is still 20 states.

sc State FirstMonth LastMonth
1 001 Alabama 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
2 002 Arizona 1896-Jan 1896-Dec
3 003 Arkansas 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
4 004 California 1995-Sep 1996-Aug
5 005 Colorado 1933-Sep 1934-Aug
6 006 Connecticut 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
7 007 Delaware 2011-Apr 2012-Mar
8 008 Florida 1948-Mar 1949-Feb
9 009 Georgia 1931-Jun 1932-May
10 010 Idaho 1933-Jun 1934-May
11 011 Illinois 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
12 012 Indiana 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
13 013 Iowa 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
14 014 Kansas 1933-Sep 1934-Aug
15 015 Kentucky 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
16 016 Louisiana 1998-May 1999-Apr
17 017 Maine 1913-Jan 1913-Dec
18 018 Maryland 2011-Apr 2012-Mar
19 019 Massachusetts 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
20 020 Michigan 1920-Oct 1921-Sep
21 021 Minnesota 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
22 022 Mississippi 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
23 023 Missouri 2011-Jun 2012-May
24 024 Montana 1933-Jun 1934-May
25 025 Nebraska 1933-Sep 1934-Aug
26 026 Nevada 1933-Jun 1934-May
27 027 New Hampshire 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
28 028 New Jersey 2011-Jun 2012-May
29 029 New Mexico 1999-Oct 2000-Sep
30 030 New York 2011-Jun 2012-May
31 031 North Carolina 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
32 032 North Dakota 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
33 033 Ohio 2011-Jun 2012-May
34 034 Oklahoma 2011-Jun 2012-May
35 035 Oregon 1933-Dec 1934-Nov
36 036 Pennsylvania 1931-Mar 1932-Feb
37 037 Rhode Island 2011-Jun 2012-May
38 038 South Carolina 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
39 039 South Dakota 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
40 040 Tennessee 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
41 041 Texas 1998-May 1999-Apr
42 042 Utah 1933-Jun 1934-May
43 043 Vermont 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
44 044 Virginia 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
45 045 Washington 1991-Jul 1992-Jun
46 046 West Virginia 1931-Jul 1932-Jun
47 047 Wisconsin 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
48 048 Wyoming 1933-Jun 1934-May

sc Region FirstMonth LastMonth
49 101 Northeast Region 2011-Jun 2012-May
50 102 East North CentralRegion 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
51 103 Central Region 2011-Jun 2012-May
52 104 Southeast Region 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
53 105 West North Central Region 2011-Aug 2012-Jul
54 106 South Region 2011-Jun 2012-May
55 107 Southwest Region 1999-Oct 2000-Sep
56 108 Northwest Region 1933-Dec 1934-Nov
57 109 West Region 1933-Jun 1934-May
58 110 USA Contiguous 48 States 2011-Aug 2012-Jul

BEST vs NOAA continued – North Dakota

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I started comparing the July 29, 2012 BEST release to NOAA’s data here with Alabama.

Unlike Alabama which according to NOAA has cooled since 1895, North Dakota is one of the fastest warming states according to NOAA.

I assume BEST was happy with a fast warming state so they just warmed all the data. Every 5 year period (except for 3 and 1 no change) were warmed a small amount.

I cannot help but consluding that BEST had a goal in mind , or more likely their algorithm was designed to make all trends rise from past to present. If the real trend wouldn’t cooperate (like Alabama) they cooled the past and warmed the present. If the real trend was in the right direction, they just pretended to adjust the data.

NOAA Jun 2012 data – Warmest 12 months per state and region

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I’m late in getting this out since the July data will be out any day.

Warmest 12 months per state and region using NOAA June 2012. (There are reasons to think NOAA have cooled the past).

 

sc State FirstMonth LastMonth
1 001 Alabama 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
2 002 Arizona 1896-Jan 1896-Dec
3 003 Arkansas 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
4 004 California 1995-Sep 1996-Aug
5 005 Colorado 1933-Sep 1934-Aug
6 006 Connecticut 2011-Jun 2012-May
7 007 Delaware 2011-Apr 2012-Mar
8 008 Florida 1948-Mar 1949-Feb
9 009 Georgia 1931-Jun 1932-May
10 010 Idaho 1933-Jun 1934-May
11 011 Illinois 2011-Jun 2012-May
12 012 Indiana 2011-Jun 2012-May
13 013 Iowa 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
14 014 Kansas 1933-Sep 1934-Aug
15 015 Kentucky 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
16 016 Louisiana 1998-May 1999-Apr
17 017 Maine 1913-Jan 1913-Dec
18 018 Maryland 2011-Apr 2012-Mar
19 019 Massachusetts 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
20 020 Michigan 1920-Oct 1921-Sep
21 021 Minnesota 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
22 022 Mississippi 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
23 023 Missouri 2011-Jun 2012-May
24 024 Montana 1933-Jun 1934-May
25 025 Nebraska 1933-Sep 1934-Aug
26 026 Nevada 1933-Jun 1934-May
27 027 New Hampshire 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
28 028 New Jersey 2011-Apr 2012-Mar
29 029 New Mexico 1999-Oct 2000-Sep
30 030 New York 2011-Jun 2012-May
31 031 North Carolina 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
32 032 North Dakota 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
33 033 Ohio 2011-Jun 2012-May
34 034 Oklahoma 2011-Jun 2012-May
35 035 Oregon 1933-Dec 1934-Nov
36 036 Pennsylvania 1931-Mar 1932-Feb
37 037 Rhode Island 2011-May 2012-Apr
38 038 South Carolina 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
39 039 South Dakota 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
40 040 Tennessee 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
41 041 Texas 2011-Jun 2012-May
42 042 Utah 1933-Jun 1934-May
43 043 Vermont 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
44 044 Virginia 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
45 045 Washington 1991-Jul 1992-Jun
46 046 West Virginia 1931-Jul 1932-Jun
47 047 Wisconsin 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
48 048 Wyoming 1933-Jun 1934-May


sc Region FirstMonth LastMonth
49 101 Northeast Region 2011-Jun 2012-May
50 102 East North CentralRegion 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
51 103 Central Region 2011-Jun 2012-May
52 104 Southeast Region 1931-Sep 1932-Aug
53 105 West North Central Region 2011-Jul 2012-Jun
54 106 South Region 2011-Jun 2012-May
55 107 Southwest Region 1999-Oct 2000-Sep
56 108 Northwest Region 1933-Dec 1934-Nov
57 109 West Region 1933-Jun 1934-May
58 110 USA Contiguous 48 States 2011-Jul 2012-Jun

BEST minus NOAA – WOW – BEST has cooled the pre-1960 data and warmed the post-1960 data for Alabama

Published on by sunshinehours14 Comments

I thought I would compare TAVG data from the new BEST release to the NOAA data for the state of Alabama.

I got the BEST data here. I got the NOAA data here. The BEST anomalies are as of 1951 to 1980. So I calculated the NOAA anomalies for Alabama using the same time frame. Then I convert NOAA anomalies from Fahrenheit to Celsius.

So, for example, 1950 and 2010 (temperatures are anomalies from the 1951-1980 average):

Year Month NOAA_F NOAA_C BEST_C BEST minus NOAA
661 1950.00 1.00 16.00 8.89 6.83 -2.06
665 1950.00 2.00 7.00 3.89 2.70 -1.19
666 1950.00 3.00 -1.30 -0.72 -1.05 -0.33
667 1950.00 4.00 -3.50 -1.94 -1.77 0.17
668 1950.00 5.00 3.80 2.11 1.51 -0.60
669 1950.00 6.00 1.30 0.72 0.39 -0.34
670 1950.00 7.00 -1.50 -0.83 -1.10 -0.27
671 1950.00 8.00 -1.40 -0.78 -0.99 -0.21
672 1950.00 9.00 -1.60 -0.89 -0.81 0.07
662 1950.00 10.00 3.60 2.00 1.33 -0.67
663 1950.00 11.00 -3.70 -2.06 -2.32 -0.27
664 1950.00 12.00 -4.40 -2.44 -2.48 -0.03
1381 2010.00 1.00 -4.50 -2.50 -2.54 -0.04
1385 2010.00 2.00 -7.30 -4.06 -4.13 -0.08
1386 2010.00 3.00 -3.60 -2.00 -1.59 0.41
1387 2010.00 4.00 0.70 0.39 1.28 0.89
1388 2010.00 5.00 2.80 1.56 1.77 0.22
1389 2010.00 6.00 3.80 2.11 2.52 0.41
1390 2010.00 7.00 3.00 1.67 1.82 0.15
1391 2010.00 8.00 4.10 2.28 2.51 0.23
1392 2010.00 9.00 2.80 1.56 2.15 0.59
1382 2010.00 10.00 1.30 0.72 0.65 -0.07
1383 2010.00 11.00 2.30 1.28 1.44 0.16
1384 2010.00 12.00 -6.40 -3.56 -2.98 0.58

Hmmm. They don’t look too similar. So I double checked. 16 for Jan 1950? Yes, Jan 1950 was the warmest January in Alabama history according to the NOAA. It averaged 60F, which is 16F above the 1951-1980 average.

So, lets graph BEST minus NOAA_C. Whaaatttt! No wonder BEST can claim warming occurred after 1960.

They cooled all the pre-1960 data and warmed all the post-1960 data (compared to NOAA)!!

BEST – Why no cooling in the Southeast?

Published on by sunshinehours18 Comments

I originally wrote this as a comment on WUWT.

There are six states which have a negative trend from 1895 as of the end of 2011. Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Arkansas, South Carolina and Tennessee.

Here is an example of Alabama’s NOAA data graphed.


BEST didn’t find any negative trends.

http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/regions/alabama
http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/regions/georgia-(state)
http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/regions/mississippi
http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/regions/arkansas
http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/regions/south-carolina
http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/regions/tennessee

 

It even gets discussed in papers.

“It is shown that the SE United States is one of few regions on this planet that shows a cooling trend over the twentieth century (Trenberth et al. 2007). Portmann et al. (2009) find that this cooling trend is strongest in the late spring–early summer period.”

Even the South Carolina State Climatology Office recognizes it.

“Research suggests that the temperature of the southeastern United States has been decreasing over the past 100 years. The Southeast is distinct from other regions of the United States that do show distinct warming. Cooling in the Southeast, however, is not necessarily due to recent temperature trends. Rather, the large scale cooling is readily apparent when looking at the extended period of record. Temperatures in the early 1900s were generally cool then warmed between the 1920s and the 1940s. Starting in the 1950s, temperatures decreased until the 1970s when a general increase in temperature began. Because of the warming in the 1920s through 1940s is greater than the warming after 1970, the overall trend of the century is a cooling trend.”

 
How could BEST not find a cooling trend when a lot other people can?