Tag: Cooling

NOAA September 2012 – States by Ranking

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Update: Histogram added at bottom.

NOAA September 2012 – Ordered By Rank out of 118.  No State broke the record for its warmest September.

As an example, Indiana had the 30th warmest September, meaning 88 were warmer. The warmest September for Indiana was 1925 — 8.1F warmer than 2012!

Minnesota and North Dakotas record for September is 1897! Arizona’s is 1899.

State Sep 2012 Sep Rank Warmest Temp
Indiana 64.1 30 1925 72.2
Illinois 64.7 32 1925 72.7
Kentucky 67 34 1925 76.5
Alabama 73 35 1925 83.1
Missouri 66.7 37 1931 74.7
Ohio 63.2 37 1931 69.6
Iowa 61.8 39 1931 70
Michigan 58.5 41 1908 65.4
Tennessee 69 43 1925 79.2
Wisconsin 57.8 43 1931 64.8
Kansas 67.6 44 1931 76.7
North Carolina 69.8 47 1921 76.6
Georgia 74.1 52 1925 83.5
Mississippi 74.2 52 1925 82.9
Pennsylvania 62.3 52 1931 67.8
West Virginia 64 55 1900 69.9
Minnesota 57.1 56 1897 64
Virginia 67.1 56 1930 73.4
South Carolina 73.4 61 1925 81.6
Louisiana 77.2 62 1911 81.7
Maryland 67.2 63 1930 72.3
Rhode Island 62.9 64 1961 67.5
Arkansas 73.1 65 1925 80.1
Florida 79.5 65 1925 82.5
Maine 56.4 65 1961 62.7
Nebraska 63.4 67 1931 69.8
New York 60 67 1961 66.5
Vermont 58.1 75 1961 65.1
North Dakota 57.2 77 1897 63.4
Massachusetts 61.9 78 1961 66.8
New Hampshire 58.3 78 1961 64.5
Texas 76.7 79 1911 81
Oklahoma 74.1 83 1931 79.8
Connecticut 62.9 84 1961 67.7
New Mexico 66.1 85 2010 68.8
Arizona 73.7 88 1899 77.5
South Dakota 62.5 89 1897 68
Delaware 69.5 91 1930 73.1
Colorado 59.6 92 1998 62.6
New Jersey 67 92 1961 71.4
Washington 60.6 93 1967 63.7
Oregon 60.9 100 2011 63.2
Montana 58.4 104 1998 62.3
Idaho 59.3 107 1990 62.2
Wyoming 58.3 109 1998 60.4
Utah 64.1 110 2001 65.5
California 72.7 113 2009 73.6
Nevada 65.4 116 2009 66.5

 

A histogram of Warmest Septembers (kinda looks like it is giving the 1920s/30s finger to the IPCC):

 

HADCRUT4 hates 1998

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Once upon a time there was a global average temperature set call HADCRUT3.

HADCRUT3 loved 1998. 4 out of the top 10 warmest months were from 1998.

year month anomaly
1998 Jul 0.671
1998 Apr 0.647
2007 Jan 0.61
2002 Mar 0.609
1998 Jun 0.606
2002 Jan 0.598
2010 Mar 0.583
2010 Apr 0.571
2003 Oct 0.566
1998 Mar 0.548

And then along came HADCRUT4 whose primary purpose seems to be to make sure the graph of the last 15 years slopes up instead of down.

HADCRUT4 hates 1998. Not only did 2 months from 1998 drop out of the top 10, but Jan 2007 was made .208C warmer than the old Jan 2007.

year month anomaly
2007 Jan 0.818
2002 Mar 0.689
2006 Dec 0.687
2010 Apr 0.673
2010 Mar 0.662
1998 Jul 0.66
2002 Jan 0.66
1998 Apr 0.611
2003 Oct 0.602
2010 Jul 0.601

Why? I have no idea.

Paul Homewood has more. Take note of his footnote. There are no new stations in Antarctica. It looks like maybe 6 new stations south of the equator … and we know it is cooling in the south.

AGW “Experts” Are Idiots!

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Experts: Global warming means more Antarctic ice (h/t Marc Morano)

“This subtle growth in winter sea ice since scientists began measuring it in 1979 was initially surprising, they say, but makes sense the more it is studied.”

Translation: It was embarrassing us, so we’ll make something up.

“A warming world can have complex and sometimes surprising consequences,”

Translation: Antarctica is cooling, we don’t know why, so we will claim it is warming.

“”It sounds counterintuitive, but the Antarctic is part of the warming as well.”

Translation: More Ice = Warming and Less Ice = Warming. Our scam wins either way!

“But that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t be paying attention to it and shouldn’t be talking about it.”

Translation: We ignored the records in 2006 and 2012 and finally a few bloggers embarrassed us so much about 2012 that we had our buddy Seth Borenstein make up some crap.

“Antarctica’s weather peculiarities, on the other hand, don’t have much effect on civilization.”

Translation: It threatens our gravy train of grant money so we kept quiet about it.

“And the wind works in combination with the ozone hole, the huge gap in Earth’s protective ozone layer that usually appears over the South Pole”

Translation: We plan to ignore the ozone hole over the Arctic … which we never predicted either.

“Antarctic sea ice is also getting snowier because climate change has allowed the air to carry more moisture.

Guffaw.

“Winter sea ice has grown by about 1 percent a decade in Antarctica. ”

Actually, only one year before 1998 (1980 had 3) had days over 19 million sq km of Antarctic Ice. 2006 had 30 and 2012 had 28.

“computer models have long predicted that Antarctica would not respond as quickly to global warming as other places. ”

Translation; Models said it would melt too. Our models are crap.

“Scientists on the cruise with Maksym are spending eight to 12 hours a day on the ice bundled up against the fierce wind with boots that look like Bugs Bunny’s feet.”

Translation: Clown Feet would be more appropriate.

Amazing Graph of AMO vs Arctic Sea Ice vs Antarctic Sea Ice

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Update: In an earlier version the legend on the graph had blue labeled as Antarctic even though it was Arctic. The body of the post had it right (thanks Tom,Hugh,Tom,Anthony,Mike and Sundance for noticing ).

I decided to graph the AMO vs Arctic Sea Ice Extent vs Antarctic Sea Ice Extent. AMO data comes from NOAA, Sea Ice data comes from NSIDC.

The green is the AMO – Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The red is Antarctic Sea Ice Extent. The blue is the Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

The dashed lines are the liner trends for each.

There are three amazing things:

1) The AMO trend is identical to the Antarctic trend even though the AMO is the sea surface trend of the North Atlantic Ocean! The trend are so close it is hard to see the AMO and Antarctic trends as separate items.

2) The Arctic trend is almost a mirror image of the Antarctic trend.

3) The cross over point is around 1997 which is when the AMO went officially positive (it sometimes goes opposite to the main trend for a few months)

The AMO is cyclic and will return to negative soon enough and this graph implies that sea ice trends will just reverse in a few years.

Click on the graph for a larger size.

WOW!!!! Antarctic Sea Ice Extent All Time Records Set in 2012

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Update: Take at look at the amazing AMO vs Arctic vs Antarctic graph here.

As you may know, I have been using Cryosphere’s Antarctic Sea Ice Area data to show the record levels of Antarctic Sea Ice.

But I just found another data set, NOAA’s Sea Ice Extent here. (thanks to commenter HaroldW at the Blackboard)

And it turns out day 265 set an all time record, and then day 266 broke that record. Days 265 through 270 are now the 6 highest Antarctic Sea Ice Extent’s of all time!!!!

11 of the top 15 are now 2012.

Anyone wonder why NOAA isn’t making a fuss about this?

Year Day of Year Ice Extent
2012 266 19.45418
2012 268 19.4478
2012 267 19.44631
2012 270 19.4433
2012 269 19.41601
2012 265 19.36135
2006 264 19.35934
2012 257 19.35567
2012 271 19.35207
2006 267 19.34999
2012 264 19.34204
2012 259 19.33522
2006 265 19.3289
2006 268 19.32669
2012 258 19.31503

HADSST2 Southern Hemisphere Aug 2012 – Cooling For 15 Years

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Using data from the Climate Research Unit of the UEA , it appears sea surface temperatures may explain Antarctic Sea Ice at record levels.

SST in the southern hemisphere have a cooling trend of -0.068C / decade.over the last 15 years.

Antarctic Sea Ice Area Growing Again!!!

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After a few days of shrinking, Antarctic Sea Ice Area is growing again and trying for a new all time record.

The horizontal blue line is the all time record (by warmist standards). Go red go!

Only 112,000 sq km to go!

Year Day of Year Ice Area
2007 263 16.2323818
2007 264 16.2156487
2007 265 16.1711521
2007 266 16.1504288
2012 259 16.1458836
2012 266 16.1204205
2007 267 16.1177235
2012 258 16.1003437
2012 257 16.0984936
2007 262 16.0848694
2007 268 16.0605392
2012 256 16.0570793
2012 260 16.0534458
2010 227 16.0503387
2000 253 16.0354385
2007 256 16.0280628
2007 272 16.0231705
2010 226 16.0212231
2012 255 16.0202618
2012 254 16.0092392
2010 228 16.0086727