Tag: Mockery

BBC: Heatwaves “More Likely” claim is ruined by the data

Published on by sunshinehours13 Comments

Paul Homewood discusses BBC claims that Heatwaves are more likely due to climate change. And because 2014 was the “hottest” year.

So I decided to look at the HADCET MAXTEMP data.

Not the average. The maximum.

I then arbitrarily set the heatwave boundary at 25C.

And then calculated the number of days over 25 and the longest stretch (ie Heatwave).

Guess what? 2014 barely ranks. Only 8 days above 25.  1911 had 29! (See large table at bottom for 25C heatwaves)

What if I set the Heatwave definition at 30C? There are only 8 years that have days over 30C.

1976 is the winner. And 1976 was 39 years ago! (Corrected from 30)

The 30C days and temps.

“1976-07-01” “1976-07-02” “1976-07-03” “1976-07-04” “1976-07-05” “1976-07-06” “1976-07-07”
“30.6” “31.8” “33.2” “31.4” “31.4” “31.6” “30.4”

30C Heatwaves

Year Days Longest Heatwave
1976 9 7
1995 5 4
1975 4 2
1906 3 3
1948 3 3
2006 3 2
1923 2 2
1990 2 2

25C Heatwave.

Year Days Longest Heatwave
1976 33 16
1995 33 10
1911 29 4
2006 26 7
1947 25 10
2003 23 10
1949 22 6
1933 21 6
1893 19 6
1921 19 6
1955 19 5
1975 19 8
1983 18 7
1989 18 7
1899 17 4
1887 16 3
1959 16 3
1990 16 4
1997 16 7
2013 16 8
2005 15 5
1884 14 5
1900 14 3
1935 14 4
1999 14 5
2001 13 5
1941 12 3
1878 11 6
1897 11 4
1898 11 5
1934 11 8
1970 11 5
1984 10 5
1901 9 5
1925 9 3
1942 9 4
1982 9 2
1991 9 3
1994 9 3
1996 9 5
2004 9 2
1906 8 5
1929 8 3
1957 8 4
1960 8 3
1969 8 3
1986 8 4
2014 8 5
1896 7 2
1919 7 2
1923 7 3
1944 7 3
1952 7 2
1973 7 4
1886 6 3
1895 6 2
1908 6 3
1914 6 2
1926 6 4
1937 6 2
1940 6 4
1945 6 3
1946 6 5
1961 6 2
2010 6 2
2011 6 3
1881 5 2
1885 5 4
1918 5 3
1930 5 4
1948 5 5
1953 5 2
1977 5 5
1987 5 2
1992 5 2
1998 5 4
2000 5 3
2009 5 4
1891 4 4
1902 4 2
1904 4 2
1912 4 3
1922 4 2
1928 4 2
1932 4 2
1936 4 3
1939 4 4
1943 4 2
1950 4 4
1963 4 2
1968 4 2
2008 4 2
1894 3 2
1905 3 2
1917 3 2
1978 3 2
1980 3 2
1988 3 2
2002 3 2
1880 2 2
1924 2 2
1972 2 2

The East Germans Have Successfully Take Over German Climate Policy

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What was once launched as a – well-intentioned – green energy revolution has now mutated into a giant VEB [i.e. East German state company]. In Gabriel’s system electricity production is no longer determined by demand – as is usual in a market economy. It is not demand that determines supply – but the subsidy billions. Produced is only what wind and solar power and feed-in tariffs expensively allow, not what the public and the economy need – cheap energy. In Gabriel’s national energy system there is an ideological distinction between “good” (green) and “evil” (traditional) energy. Therefore, even profitable and clean gas power plants are switched off – as just happened to Europe’s most modern gas-fired power plant in Irsching. Instead, new subsidy-fed projects are connected to the grid without the necessary network capacity and without the necessary storage technology. For these intermittent power plants, coal power plants have to be kept running as backups, which in turn emit a lot more CO2, which now are also extra-taxed. It all feels like socialist self-perpetuating: this energy revolution cannot be stopped. 

 

http://www.thegwpf.com/the-madness-of-germanys-energy-socialism/

Time Magazine: Since the 1940s the mean global temperature has dropped about 2.7° F

Published on by sunshinehours14 Comments

Time magazine, June 24, 1974:

As they review the bizarre and unpredictable weather pattern of the past several years, a growing number of scientists are beginning to suspect that many seemingly contradictory meteorological fluctuations are actually part of a global climatic upheaval. However widely the weather varies from place to place and time to time, when meteorologists take an average of temperatures around the globe they find that the atmosphere has been growing gradually cooler for the past three decades. The trend shows no indication of reversing. Climatological Cassandras are becoming increasingly apprehensive, for the weather aberrations are studying may be the harbinger of another ice age.

Telltale signs are everywhere—from the unexpected persistence and thickness of pack ice in the waters around Iceland to the southward migration of a warmth-loving creature like the armadillo from the Midwest. Since the 1940s the mean global temperature has dropped about 2.7° F. Although that figure is at best an estimate, it is supported by other convincing data.

A Global Cooling Reminder

Even more from the Wayback Machine:

When Climatologist George J. Kukla of Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory and his wife Helena analyzed satellite weather data for the Northern Hemisphere, they found that the area of the ice and snow cover had suddenly increased by 12% in 1971 and the increase has persisted ever since. Areas of Baffin Island in the Canadian Arctic, for example, were once totally free of any snow in summer; now they are covered year round.

Whoa! Earth at 58.24F in 2014 was allegedly hotter than Earth at 62.45F in 1997

Published on by sunshinehours11 Comment

Whoa!

The global average temperature of 62.45 degrees Fahrenheit for 1997 was the warmest year on record, surpassing the previous record set in 1995 by 0.15 degrees Fahrenheit

The average temperature for the year [2014] was 0.69°C (1.24°F) above the 20th century average of 13.9°C (57.0°F) [ie 58.24F] , beating the previous record warmth of 2010 and 2005 by 0.04°C (0.07°F).

http://tomnelson.blogspot.ca/2015/02/noaa-settled-science-earth-at-5824f-in.html

 

 

So-called Scientists Don’t Know The Sun Sets Every Day

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Too stupid to spend much time on it … but so stupid it should be noted.

“The scientists set up infrared heaters over the five meadow plots measuring 30 square metres (322 square feet).

Left to run day and night, the heaters burned through more than 128,462 kilowatt hours of electricity.”

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2947796/We-seeing-effects-global-warming-claims-study-used-outdoor-HEATERS-23-YEARS-warm-mountain-meadows.html

 

Biggest Science Scandal Ever

Published on by sunshinehours11 Comment

“When future generations look back on the global-warming scare of the past 30 years, nothing will shock them more than the extent to which the official temperature records – on which the entire panic ultimately rested – were systematically “adjusted” to show the Earth as having warmed much more than the actual data justified.”

“Two weeks ago, under the headline “How we are being tricked by flawed data on global warming”, I wrote about Paul Homewood, who, on his Notalotofpeopleknowthat blog, had checked the published temperature graphs for three weather stations in Paraguay against the temperatures that had originally been recorded. In each instance, the actual trend of 60 years of data had been dramatically reversed, so that a cooling trend was changed to one that showed a marked warming.”

Read it all here:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/environment/globalwarming/11395516/The-fiddling-with-temperature-data-is-the-biggest-science-scandal-ever.html

https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/02/04/temperature-adjustments-transform-arctic-climate-history/

 

Climate “Scientists” Telling Big Fat Lies

Published on by sunshinehours13 Comments

Big Fat Lie: “Sceptics who still doubt anthropogenic climate change have now been stripped of one of their last-ditch arguments: It is true that there has been a warming hiatus and that the surface of the earth has warmed up much less rapidly since the turn of the millennium than all the relevant climate models had predicted. However, the gap between the calculated and measured warming is not due to systematic errors of the models, as the sceptics had suspected, but because there are always random fluctuations in the Earth’s climate.“

Briggs: “No. No. No. It is as simple and no more difficult than this. A climate model consistently says the temperatures will be way up here, and reality just as consistently fails to cooperate and puts temperatures way down there. That model is therefore a failure. It is busted. It is broken. It is not right. It should not be trusted. It should not be used as a basis for any decision. It is wrong.”

Read It All

Natural Variations In Weather DO NOT Explain The ‘Pause’: Update, With Letter to Nature

 

Nanaimo Tmax from 1913 to 2014 Using Two Overlapping Stations

Published on by sunshinehours12 Comments

Every once in a while I visit the data for the weather station closest to my hometown on the west coast of Canada.

Today I am looking at daily data (using KNMI) from Departure Bay (1913 – 1992) and Nanaimo Airport (1947 – 2014).

I’ve summarized the data by monthly mean.

The data does overlap. The first graph is just Tmax. The second graph is Tmax anomaly from the overlap period of 1948 to 1992

Nanaimo TMax - Data From KNMI - Departure Bay and Airport

Nanaimo TMax - Data From KNMI - Departure Bay and Airport - Anomaly From Overlapping 1948-1992