California Water Management Fails Epically

Michael Reagan states the obvious:
In response to the shortage of water, the California Water Resources Board wants to institute a punitive fine of $500/day for people it calls “water hogs.”
But I think Thomas Del Beccaro, writing in Forbes, has a better idea: Let’s fine the board for failing to do its job over the last 40 years.
He explains, “California is the most populated state in the Union, with more than 38 million people. Its population was just under 20 million in 1970, when the bulk of its current water storage and delivery systems were already built. In other words, the California governments have done very little to significantly increase water supplies in over 40 years, even though its population has doubled during that period of time.
Instead of realizing that “water” was its middle name, the board has been made captive by enviro-Nazis who think people in general are the enemy. Rather than build dams and reservoirs to keep up with a growing population, state government has preferred to depend on the kindness of clouds to provide water for taxpayers.
Then the clouds stopped being kind.
Felicia Marcus, chairman of the water board, exemplifies the arrogant, buck-passing mentality of its members: “I like to say, having a browning lawn and a dirty car is a badge of honor.”
No Felicia, the dead grass and filthy car are the result of a do-nothing board that should be thrown out on its ear.


AMO Update as of April 2014

UPDATE: Sorry about the title. Not sure what happened. Fixed now.

The AMO is definitely linked with climate cycles. And probably has more to do with Arctic Sea Ice than any other factor. This is loess trend of each month of the AMO on the same graph.

The winter months started trending down around 2005/2008. Spring months have been flattish since the same time. Only July-Sept have stayed high. June has been flat.

The first four months of 2014 were all negative.

AMO From 2000 as of 2014 April

Same graph, but from 1856 and 1979. The spread in months now seems to be repeating the pattern way back in 1856. But that could be an endpoint artifact.

AMO From 1856 as of 2014 April

AMO From 1979 as of 2014 April


Same graphs, but the data and the trends.

AMO From 1856 as of 2014 April (all lines) AMO From 1979 as of 2014 April (all lines) AMO From 2000 as of 2014 April (all lines)

AMO (May) vs Antarctic Sea Ice Day 138

The graph is in thise post compares sea ice extent for just one day of each year – 138 to the AMO for the month day 138 is in – in this case May. There isn’t any AMO data for May 2014 yet.

AMO data comes from NOAA, Sea Ice data comes from NSIDC.

The red is the  May AMO – Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The blue is Antarctic Sea Ice Extent just for day 138.

The dashed lines are the liner trends for each.

Click on the graph for a larger size.

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent for Day 138 From 1979 (infilled)  + AMO

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Oscillation Pattern Return

I don’t know what it means, but I’ve been aware of an oscillation pattern in Antarctic Sea Ice Extent for some time.

A while ago I noted the time between oscillations. Today I am just noting the size of the oscillations.

The current satellite record only started around 1978 (and only a partial years data exists). And until 1986, data only exists for alternating days.

Consider that the AMO is about 66 years long. And 1982 (the end of the big oscillations in the early part of the satellite record) is about 33 years ago I wonder if the big oscillation pattern will come to an end soon in the same way it came to an end after 1982? (Update: Or will it oscillate for 33 years?)

We don’t what happened off to the left of the graph (the pre-satellite era) with certainty. Or why these oscillations were once huge, and then settled down and then resumed their large oscillations again.

Click for larger.

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent for Day 125 From 1979 (infilled) BIG OSCILLATIONs



Joe Bastardi: Arctic sea ice anomaly in the summer is forecast to be near or above normal

Big story:

There is a huge event being forecasted this year by the CFSV2, and I don’t know if anyone else is mentioning this. For the first time in over a decade, the Arctic sea ice anomaly in the summer is forecast to be near or above normal.”

Read here:


(h/t NorthwestPassage)


Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Oscillation Pattern

I don’t know what it means, but I’ve been aware of an oscillation pattern in Antarctic Sea Ice Extent for some time. A week or two ago I made a slight change in one of my graphs to annotate the peaks and valleys with the year and now the pattern jumps out at you even more.

This graph is for day 95, but the pattern is similar in other parts of the year.

There has been since 1988 a  4 or 5 year oscillation where the ice extent goes to a valley in between peaks.  And the magnitude of the oscillation is growing.

These are not small oscillations. Sea Ice Extent as of today is 7,000,000 sq km.  The 2011 valley is 4,700,000 sq km. That is a 50% jump in sea ice on day 95 from 2011 to 2014.

I know the AMO has peaked and is poised to start down (it may take a few more years). But to repeat myself, I’m not sure what it means.

Click for larger.


Antarctic Sea Ice Extent for Day 95 From 1980 - Oscilation

The NY Times Thinks It Is The “End Of Snow” For the Olympics

Some guy at the NY Times Thinks It Is The “End Of Snow” For the Olympics.

“In the last 47 years, a million square miles of spring snow cover has disappeared from the Northern Hemisphere

I suspect the “author” used 47 years because the Rutgers Snow Lab’s data for the Northern Hemisphere starts in 1967  (2014 – 47).

Now the Olympics usually runs in February, so lets look at snow cover data for February.


2013 in February certainly had a little less snow than 1967 (47 years ago).

But 2013 had a lot more than 1968. About 3.5 million sq km more in fact according the Rutgers snow lab.

And 2010-2013 were probably the snowiest 4 years ever. The late 1970s would be the snowiest 3 years (but that was the coldest winter in US history)

1989 to 2002 looked bad for snow. But that was a long time ago. Warmists do tend to live in the past.

Looking at that graph I would have to conclude that there is no end of snow. Snow is doing just fine in the Northern Hemisphere.

However, the lack of snow does somewhat coincide with the AMO in February being very low. But it has nothing to do with CO2.